23rd Aug. France Ligue 1---Lyon VS Metz Prediction
France Ligue 1 - Lyon VS Metz
Match Time:24-08-2025 03:05 Sunday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Olympique Lyonnais
Lyon, coached by Paulo Fonseca, is 4th with 3 points after a 1-0 away win at Lens on August 17, 2025, with Georges Mikautadze scoring. Their recent form includes three wins, one draw, and one loss in five competitive matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, including a 2-0 friendly win over Real Betis. Key players include Mikautadze (1 goal), Alexandre Lacazette, and Ainsley Maitland-Niles, with a probable 4-3-3 lineup: Perri; Maitland-Niles, Mata, Caleta-Car, Tagliafico; Caqueret, Tolisso, Matic; Cherki, Lacazette, Mikautadze. Strengths include their home dominance (10-3-1 last season) and attacking depth, but injuries to Orel Mangala (knee) and Ernest Nuamah (long-term) are concerns. They aim to extend their unbeaten run against Metz, leveraging their 12-2-0 home record against them.
FC Metz
Metz, led by Stéphane Le Mignan, is 14th with 0 points after a 1-0 home loss to Strasbourg on August 17, 2025. Their recent form shows one win, one draw, and three losses in five matches, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, with a 2-1 loss to Lens on April 12, 2025. Key players include Cheikh Sabaly, Gauthier Hein, and Alexandre Oukidja (goalkeeper), with a probable 4-2-3-1 lineup: Oukidja; Colin, Candé, Sarr, Udol; Camara, Van Den Kerkhof; Sabaly, Atta, Hein; Diallo. Strengths include their defensive organization, but injuries to Malick Mbaye and Joseph Mangondo, plus a poor away record (2-5-10 last season), are issues. They aim to upset Lyon, despite a historically poor record against them.
Head-to-Head
As shown in the sports card above, Lyon and Metz have met 30 times in Ligue 1 since 1998, with Lyon winning 23, Metz 4, and 3 draws. Recent results include a 2-1 Lyon win on February 23, 2024 (Lacazette 45+1’, Benrahma 60’; Mikautadze 13’ for Metz) and a 1-1 draw on November 5, 2023. At Groupama Stadium, Lyon are unbeaten (12-2-0), with their last home loss to Metz in 1998. Matches average 2.5 goals, with 33% both teams scoring (BTTS) and 37% over 2.5 goals, trending toward lower-scoring games recently.
Predicted Score: Olympique Lyonnais 2-0 FC Metz
Lyon’s Mikautadze and Lacazette face Metz’s Sabaly and Hein, with Lyon’s home strength and attacking form tested by Metz’s defensive setup. Lyon are heavy favorites (1.45 odds, 52% win probability) over Metz (7.50), with a draw at 5.20. Trends (Lyon: 60% under 2.5 goals; Metz: 40% BTTS) suggest a controlled game, with betting tips favoring Lyon to win (1.45) and under 2.5 goals (2.00). Cards may be issued in the 18°C evening, with Lyon averaging 12 fouls and Metz 11 per game, suggesting 3-4 cards. Lyon aim to maintain their H2H dominance, while Metz seek a rare upset. Lyon may score through Mikautadze or Lacazette, with Metz unlikely to score. Lyon’s home record and historical edge should secure a clean-sheet win, aligning with their low-scoring H2H trend and Metz’s struggles away, though Metz’s defense keeps it tight.
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