23rd Aug. Spanish La Liga---Atletico Madrid VS Elche Prediction
Spanish La Liga - Atletico Madrid VS Elche
Match Time:24-08-2025 01:30 Sunday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Atlético Madrid
Atlético Madrid, coached by Diego Simeone, is 14th with 0 points after a 2-1 loss at Espanyol on August 16, 2025, where Julián Álvarez scored their only goal, but defensive lapses led to conceding twice in the second half. Their recent form includes three wins, one draw, and one loss in five competitive matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, with a 2-0 friendly win over RB Leipzig. Key players include Álvarez (1 goal), Alex Baena, Thiago Almada, and Johnny Cardoso, with a probable 3-5-2 lineup: Oblak; Witsel, Le Normand, Reinildo; Llorente, Baena, Koke, Cardoso, Lino; Griezmann, Álvarez. Strengths include their home dominance (12-4-1 last season, 7 clean sheets in last 8 home games vs Elche) and new attacking signings, but José María Giménez’s doubtful status (medical clearance pending) and a slow start to the season are concerns. They’ve integrated Baena, Almada, and Cardoso to bolster creativity, but early defensive errors (2 goals conceded vs Espanyol) highlight vulnerabilities. Atlético aim to rebound with a strong home performance, leveraging their unbeaten home record against Elche (15-6-1).
Elche
Elche, led by Éder Sarabia, is 9th with 1 point after a 1-1 draw against Real Betis on August 15, 2025, showing resilience as a newly promoted side from LaLiga 2. Their recent form includes two wins, two draws, and one loss in five matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, with a 2-0 friendly win over Albacete. Key players include Rafa Mir (1 goal), Germán Valera, and Edgar Badía (goalkeeper), with a probable 4-2-3-1 lineup: Badía; Carmona, Bigas, González, Salinas; Mercau, Febas; Valera, Fernández, Mourad; Mir. Strengths include their possession-based style (56% possession vs Betis) and defensive organization, but a lack of top-tier experience and injuries to John Donald and Kialonda Gaspar are issues. Elche’s 2024/25 LaLiga 2 title (21-10-11, 52 points) showcases their potential, but their historical struggles against Atlético (0 wins in last 8) pose a challenge. They aim to frustrate Atlético with compact defending and counter-attacks, seeking a rare upset.、
Head-to-Head
As per the sports card, Atlético and Elche have met 45 times in LaLiga since 1959, with Atlético winning 25, Elche 8, and 12 draws. Recent results include a 4-0 Atlético win in the 2024/25 Copa del Rey and a 2-0 league win on December 6, 1964. At the Metropolitano, Atlético are 15-6-1, with 7 clean sheets in their last 8 home games against Elche. Matches average 2.5 goals, with 40% both teams scoring (BTTS) and 50% over 2.5 goals. Elche’s last win over Atlético was in 1977 (2-1 away).
Predicted Score: Atlético Madrid 2-0 Elche
Atlético’s Álvarez and Baena face Elche’s Mir and Valera, with Atlético’s home strength and attacking reinforcements tested by Elche’s defensive setup and possession play. Atlético are heavy favorites (1.25 odds, 80% win probability) over Elche (10.00), with a draw at 5.50. Trends (Atlético: 60% clean sheets at home; Elche: 60% under 2.5 goals) suggest a controlled game, with betting tips favoring Atlético to win (1.25) and under 2.5 goals (1.90). Cards may be issued in the 20°C evening, with Atlético’s 11 fouls and Elche’s 10 per game suggesting 4-5 cards. Atlético aim to secure their first league win, while Elche seek to keep the game tight. Atlético may score through Álvarez or Griezmann, with Elche unlikely to breach Oblak’s goal. Atlético’s home dominance and H2H edge should secure a clean-sheet win, aligning with their historical trend against Elche, though Elche’s defensive resilience keeps the scoreline tight.
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