19 Aug. Spanish La Liga - Real Madrid VS Osasuna Prediction
Spanish La Liga - Real Madrid VS Osasuna
Match Time:20-08-2025 03:00 Wednesday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Real Madrid
Real Madrid, coached by Xabi Alonso, finished 2nd last season, four points behind Barcelona, and is coming off a 4-0 Club World Cup semi-final loss to PSG. Their pre-season form includes a 4-0 win over WSG Tirol, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded in five friendlies. Key players include Vinícius Júnior (8 goals, 3 assists in 11 games vs Osasuna), Kylian Mbappé, and Arda Güler, with a probable 3-4-2-1 lineup: Courtois; Militão, Huijsen, Tchouaméni; Alexander-Arnold, Valverde, Güler, García; Vinícius, Mbappé, García. Strengths include their attacking firepower (62% possession in last La Liga game) and home dominance (4 straight Bernabéu wins), but injuries to Jude Bellingham (shoulder), Eduardo Camavinga (ankle), Ferland Mendy, and Antonio Rüdiger’s suspension are concerns. They aim to kick off with a statement win.
Osasuna
Osasuna, led by Alessio Lisci, finished 9th last season and is coming off a 1-1 pre-season draw with Eibar, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded in five friendlies. Key players include Ante Budimir (scored in their last meeting), Aimar Oroz, and Rubén García, with a probable 4-4-2 lineup: Fernández; Areso, Catena, Herrando, Cruz; Oroz, Torró, Moncayola, Peña; Budimir, García. Strengths include their defensive approach (conceded in 7 of last 8 games) and set-piece threat, but they’ve struggled at the Bernabéu (no league win since 2004). No major injuries are reported, though their lack of attacking consistency is a concern. They aim to frustrate Real Madrid with a compact setup.
Head-to-Head
The sports card notes 25 meetings, with Real Madrid winning 18, Osasuna 1 (January 2011), and 6 draws. Recent results include a 1-1 draw (February 15, 2025, Mbappé and Budimir scoring) and Real Madrid’s 4-0 win (November 10, 2024, Vinícius scoring three). Matches average 3.04 goals, with 60% over 2.5 goals and 40% both teams scoring (BTTS). Real Madrid have won 9 of their last 10 home games against Osasuna, with Osasuna’s last Bernabéu point a 2-2 draw in 2013.
Predicted Score: Real Madrid 3-1 Osasuna
Real Madrid’s Vinícius and Mbappé face Osasuna’s Budimir and Oroz, with Real Madrid’s home dominance tested by Osasuna’s defensive resilience. Real Madrid are heavy favorites (1.36 odds, 77% win probability) over Osasuna (8.50), with a draw at 5.00. Trends (Real Madrid: 60% over 2.5 goals; Osasuna: 40% BTTS) and H2H suggest a high-scoring game, with betting tips favoring Real Madrid -1.5 Asian Handicap (1.73) and over 2.5 goals (1.65). Cards may be issued in the 22°C evening, with Real Madrid’s 10 fouls and Osasuna’s 12 per game suggesting 3-4 cards under Melero López’s whistle. Real Madrid aim for a convincing start, while Osasuna hope to repeat their recent draw. Real Madrid is likely to score through Vinícius and Mbappé, with Budimir possibly netting for Osasuna. Real Madrid’s attacking quality and home record should secure a comfortable win, though Osasuna’s set-piece threat may yield a goal.
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