19 Aug. England League 1 - AFC Wimbledon VS Cardiff City Prediction
England League 1 - AFC Wimbledon VS Cardiff City
Match Time:20-08-2025 02:45 Wednesday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon, coached by Johnnie Jackson, is 18th with six points after back-to-back wins over Lincoln City (2-0) and Reading (2-1) following an opening 1-0 loss to Luton Town. They’ve averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded in three league matches, plus a penalty shootout win over Gillingham in the EFL Cup. Key players include Mathew Stevens (2 goals), Jake Reeves, and Myles Hippolyte, with a probable 3-5-2 lineup: Bishop; Ogundere, Harbottle, Seddon; Asiimwe, Reeves, Smith, Hippolyte, Lewis; Stevens, Browne. Strengths include their recent momentum and home support, but a lack of clean sheets (conceding in 7 of last 8 games) and Ryan Johnson’s doubtful status (injury) are concerns. They aim to challenge Cardiff’s promotion push and leverage their home form.
Cardiff City
Cardiff City, led by Brian Barry-Murphy, is first with seven points, unbeaten after a 3-0 win over Rotherham United, a 0-0 draw at Port Vale, and a 2-1 win over Peterborough United. They’ve averaged 1.7 goals scored and 0.3 conceded in three league matches, plus a 2-1 EFL Cup win over Swindon Town. Key players include Rubin Colwill (3 goals), Ollie Tanner, and Yousef Salech, with a probable 4-2-3-1 lineup: Trott; Kpakio, Fish, Lawlor, Bagan; Wintle, Turnbull; Tanner, Colwill, Ashford; Salech. Strengths include their defensive solidity (best in the league, 1 goal conceded) and attacking form, but their away form (0 wins in last 7 competitive away games) is a concern. They aim to extend their unbeaten run and secure their first league away win.
Head-to-Head
This is the first competitive meeting between AFC Wimbledon and Cardiff City in over a decade, with no recent league encounters. Their last clash was a 3-1 Cardiff win in the 2011 League Cup. Historical matches average 2.5 goals, with 50% over 2.5 goals and 50% both teams scoring (BTTS). Cardiff’s last visit to Wimbledon was a 1-1 draw in 2002, giving AFC Wimbledon hope of a result at home.
Predicted Score: AFC Wimbledon 1-2 Cardiff City
AFC Wimbledon’s Stevens and Browne face Cardiff’s Colwill and Tanner, with Wimbledon’s home momentum tested by Cardiff’s defensive resilience. Cardiff are favorites (1.80 odds, 55% win probability) over Wimbledon (4.20), with a draw at 3.60. Trends (Wimbledon: 100% BTTS in league games; Cardiff: 33% over 2.5 goals) and limited H2H suggest a competitive game, with betting tips favoring Cardiff Draw No Bet (1.40) and BTTS (1.85). Cards may be issued in the 18°C evening, with Wimbledon’s 11 fouls and Cardiff’s 10 per game suggesting 3-4 cards under Rock’s whistle. Wimbledon aim for an upset, while Cardiff seek to maintain their top spot. Cardiff is likely to score through Colwill, with Stevens possibly netting for Wimbledon. Cardiff’s defensive strength and attacking form should secure a narrow away win, though Wimbledon’s home form and recent wins may keep it close.
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