13 Aug. UEFA Super Cup - Paris Saint Germain (PSG) VS Tottenham Hotspur Prediction
UEFA Super Cup - Paris Saint Germain (PSG) VS Tottenham Hotspur
Match Time:14-08-2025 03:00 Thursday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Paris Saint-Germain (PSG)
PSG, coached by Luis Enrique, enters as the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League winners after a 5-0 thrashing of Inter Milan in the final, securing their first-ever title. Their recent form includes a 3-0 loss to Chelsea in the Club World Cup final on July 13, 2025, but they averaged 2.7 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded in their last five competitive matches. Key players include Ousmane Dembélé (2024-25 Champions League Player of the Season, 33 goals last season), Désiré Doué, and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, with a probable 4-3-3 lineup: Chevalier; Hakimi, Marquinhos, Pacho, Mendes; Zaïre-Emery, Vitinha, Ruiz; Doué, Dembélé, Kvaratskhelia. PSG’s strengths are their attacking firepower and depth, having beaten four Premier League sides en route to the Champions League title. However, João Neves is suspended (red card from Club World Cup), and Gianluigi Donnarumma’s omission amid a contract dispute, with Lucas Chevalier starting, is notable. They aim to win their first Super Cup since their 1996 loss to Juventus.
Tottenham Hotspur
Tottenham, led by new manager Thomas Frank, are the 2024-25 UEFA Europa League winners, defeating Manchester United 1-0 in the final with a Brennan Johnson goal. Their recent form includes a 4-1 loss to Bayern Munich in a friendly on August 7, 2025, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 2.0 goals conceded in their last five competitive matches. Key players include Johnson (16 goals last season), Mohammed Kudus (new signing), and João Palhinha (on loan), with a probable 4-2-3-1 lineup: Vicario; Porro, Romero, Van de Ven, Spence; Bentancur, Palhinha; Johnson, Sarr, Kudus; Richarlison. Tottenham’s strengths are their counter-attacking threat and new signings, but injuries to James Maddison (ACL), Dejan Kulusevski (knee), Radu Dragusin (ACL), and doubts over Dominic Solanke and Destiny Udogie are concerns. They aim to make a strong debut in the Super Cup despite a 17th-place Premier League finish last season.
Head-to-Head
PSG and Tottenham have never met competitively, making this their first encounter. Based on similar matchups (Champions League vs. Europa League winners), games average 2.8 goals, with 67% over 2.5 goals and 50% both teams scoring (BTTS). PSG’s dominance against Premier League sides (wins over Arsenal, Manchester City, Liverpool, and Aston Villa in 2024-25) gives them a psychological edge.
Predicted Score: PSG 3-1 Tottenham Hotspur
PSG’s Dembélé and Kvaratskhelia face Tottenham’s Johnson and Kudus, with PSG’s attacking quality and experience tested by Tottenham’s new-look squad under Frank. PSG are heavy favorites (7/15 odds, 70% implied win probability) over Tottenham (6/1), with a draw at 4/1, per Sofascore and Sporting News. Trends (PSG: 60% over 2.5 goals; Tottenham: 80%) and H2H data suggest goals, with betting tips favoring PSG win (1.47 odds) and over 2.5 goals (1.95 odds). Cards may be issued in the 24°C evening if Tottenham’s physicality rises, with Pinheiro’s history of 4-5 cards per game. The winner claims the Super Cup, with PSG favored to continue the Champions League winners’ trend (11 of last 12 Super Cups). PSG is likely to score through Dembélé and Kvaratskhelia, with Johnson possibly netting for Tottenham. PSG’s superior quality, depth, and form against Premier League sides should secure a comfortable win
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