13 Aug. England League Cup - Birmingham City VS Sheffield United Prediction
England League Cup - Birmingham City VS Sheffield United
Match Time:14-08-2025 03:00 Thursday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Birmingham City
Birmingham City, coached by Chris Davies, enters the first round of the 2025-26 Carabao Cup after a 1-1 Championship draw against Ipswich Town on August 9, 2025, with Alfie May scoring, only for a controversial late penalty to deny them victory. Their pre-season included three wins in five friendlies (e.g., 2-0 vs. Port Vale), averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded. Key players include May, Jay Stansfield, and new signing Lyndon Dykes, with a probable 4-2-3-1 lineup: Beadle; Laird, Klarer, Cashin, Cochrane; Doyle, Paik; Willumsson, Stansfield, Anderson; Dykes. Birmingham’s strengths are their home support at St. Andrew’s (sold-out atmosphere) and attacking intent (47.6% implied win chance per Sky Bet), but injuries to Kanya Fujimoto, Scott Wright, and Marvin Ducksch (calf) are concerns. They aim to build on their FA Cup run last season and advance against a Sheffield United side in disarray.
Sheffield United
Sheffield United, led by Rubén Sellés, comes off a 4-1 Championship loss to Bristol City on August 9, 2025, marking a poor start to their promotion campaign. Their pre-season was mixed, with four wins in five friendlies (e.g., 5-0 vs. Rotherham), averaging 3.8 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded. Key players include David Brooks, Callum O’Hare, and Tom Cannon, with a probable 3-4-3 lineup: Davies; Seriki, Bindon, Norrington-Davies, McCallum; Peck, Ukaki; Brooks, O’Hare, One; Cannon. Sheffield’s strengths are their attacking potential, but injuries to Jamie Shackleton, Tom Davies, Ollie Arblaster, and the sales of Anel Ahmedhodžić, Vinicius Souza, and Kieffer Moore, plus doubts over Jack Robinson and Gustavo Hamer, weaken their squad. They aim to recover from their opening loss, but morale is low after Sellés’ public criticism.
Head-to-Head
The sports card shows Birmingham’s all-time Championship record against Sheffield United: W7 D6 L11, -8 goal differential. Recent meetings include a 2-1 Sheffield United win (May 8, 2023), a 1-1 draw (October 1, 2022), and a 1-0 Birmingham win (August 7, 2021). Matches average 2.0 goals, with 40% over 2.5 goals and 60% both teams scoring (BTTS). Birmingham have won 2 of their last 5 home games against Sheffield United, with 2 draws and 1 loss.
Predicted Score: Birmingham City 2-0 Sheffield United
Birmingham’s May and Stansfield face Sheffield United’s Brooks and Cannon, with Birmingham’s home advantage and Sheffield’s depleted squad creating a favorable matchup. Birmingham are favorites (11/10 odds, 47.6% win chance) over Sheffield United (21/10, 29%), with a draw at 11/5, per Sky Bet. Trends (Birmingham: 60% BTTS; Sheffield: 40%) and H2H suggest a tight game, with betting tips favoring Birmingham to score 2+ goals (10/3) and Sheffield to collect the most cards (11/10), totaling 6.1/1 as a bet builder. Cards are likely in the 20°C evening if Sheffield’s frustration escalates, with referee Gavin Ward averaging 3.5 cards per game. The winner advances to the second round. Birmingham’s strong home support and Sheffield’s early-season struggles. Birmingham is likely to score through May, with Sheffield struggling to convert due to their injury crisis and low morale. Birmingham’s home form and Sheffield’s disarray should secure a comfortable win.
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