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5th Aug. England League Cup - Accrington Stanley VS Oldham Athletic Prediction

5th Aug. England League Cup - Accrington Stanley VS Oldham Athletic Prediction
England League Cup  -  Accrington Stanley VS Oldham Athletic
Match Time:06-08-2025 02:45 Wednesday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips

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Accrington Stanley
Accrington Stanley, coached by John Doolan with assistant Ged Brannan, opens their 22nd Carabao Cup campaign after finishing 21st in League Two in 2024-25, eight points above the relegation zone. Their 2025-26 League Two season began with a 1-1 draw against Gillingham on August 2, 2025, with Tyler Walton scoring (66’) before a late own goal by Devon Matthews, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 goal conceded, per. Pre-season was mixed, with a 2-1 win over Blackpool but losses to Wigan Athletic and Tranmere Rovers, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.7 goals conceded. Key players include Walton, Josh Woods, and Kelsey Mooney, with a probable 4-2-3-1 lineup: Wright; Rawson, Matthews, Love, Leake; Coyle, Conneely; Woods, Sinclair, Henderson; Caton, per. Accrington’s strengths are their home form at Wham Stadium (5,027 capacity, sold out) and squad depth, but their priority is League Two survival, not the Cup.

Oldham Athletic
Oldham Athletic, led by Micky Mellon, marks their 63rd Carabao Cup appearance after promotion from the National League via the 2024-25 playoffs, beating Southend United 3-2 in extra time at Wembley. Their League Two opener was a 0-0 draw with MK Dons on August 2, 2025, averaging 0.0 goals scored and 0.0 goals conceded. Pre-season included a 3-0 loss to Lincoln City, averaging 0.5 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded. Key players include Mike Fondop, Kane Drummond, and Josh Hawkes, with a probable 4-4-2 lineup: Donaghy; Ogle, Daniels, Monthé, Sutton; Morris, Conlon, Woods, Hannant; Stevens, Fondop, per. Oldham’s strengths are their defensive solidity (clean sheet vs. MK Dons) and playoff momentum, but their attack lacks sharpness, and they’ve not won in their last three competitive games. They target a solid League Two return.

Head-to-Head
Accrington and Oldham have met 5 times since 2018, with Accrington winning 3, Oldham 1, and 1 draw. Their last clash was a 2021-22 Carabao Cup second-round match, with Oldham winning 5-4 on penalties after a 0-0 draw, per. Matches average 2.0 goals, with 40% over 2.5 goals and 40% both teams scoring (BTTS), per. Accrington won 3 of their last 4 H2H games, including a 2-0 League Two win in 2021.

Predicted Score: Accrington Stanley 1-0 Oldham Athletic
This preliminary-round clash on August 5, 2025, at Wham Stadium (The Crown Ground), Accrington, at 7:45 PM BST (2:45 PM EDT), is live on Sky Sports +, per. Accrington’s Woods and Mooney face Oldham’s Fondop and Hawkes, with Accrington’s home edge (3-0-0 in last 3 home games vs. Oldham) tested by Oldham’s defensive setup. Accrington are slight favorites (+120 odds) over Oldham (+200), with a draw at +230, per. Trends (Accrington: 40% over 2.5 goals; Oldham: 0% in last 3) and H2H suggest a low-scoring game, with betting tips favoring under 3 goals (143.550 XOF potential gain), per. Referee Charles Breakspear may issue cards in the 18°C evening if Oldham’s physicality rises. Accrington is likely to score through Woods, with Oldham struggling to respond due to their blunt attack, per. Accrington’s home form and H2H edge should secure a narrow win
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