5th Aug. UEFA Champions League - FK Shkendija 79 VS Qarabag Prediction
UEFA Champions League - FK Shkendija 79 VS Qarabag
Match Time:06-08-2025 02:00 Wednesday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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KF Shkëndija 79
KF Shkëndija, coached by Jeton Beqiri, enters the third qualifying round after a historic run, reaching this stage for only the second time in their history. They edged out Welsh side TNS in extra time (0-0, 3-2) in the first round and upset Romania’s FCSB 3-1 on aggregate (1-0, 2-1) in the second round, with Liridon Latifi and Vane Krstevski scoring in Bucharest, per. Their form includes 4 games without a loss (2 wins, 2 draws), averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.75 goals conceded. Key players include Fabrice Tamba (1 goal), Reshat Ramadani (390 minutes played), and Besart Ibraimi, with a probable 4-2-3-1 lineup: Gaye; Trumci, Cake, Webster, Fetai; Qaka, Ramadani; Latifi, Krasniqi, Tamba; Ademi, per. Shkëndija’s strengths are their slick combination play and clinical finishing, but positional lapses on set pieces are a concern, per. They aim to leverage home support at Ecolog Arena (Tose Proeski Arena) in Tetovo to gain an edge, with a guaranteed UEFA Europa League league phase spot if they lose.
Qarabağ FK
Qarabağ, led by Gurban Gurbanov, is a seasoned Champions League qualifier, reaching this stage for the 11th time and aiming for their second group stage appearance since 2017-18. They dominated Shelbourne 4-0 on aggregate (3-0, 1-0) in the second round, with Nariman Akhundzade scoring, per. Their form includes 3 wins and 1 draw in their last 4 competitive games, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.0 goals conceded. Key players include Leandro Andrade (17 goals, 9 assists in 2024-25), Abdellah Zoubir, and Pedro Bicalho (180 minutes played), with a probable 4-2-3-1 lineup: Kochalski; Silva, Mustafazada, Medina, Cafarquliyev; Bicalho, Axundzade; Andrade, Kady, Zoubir; Addai, per. Qarabağ’s strengths are their defensive control (7 big chances created vs. Shelbourne) and European experience, averaging 5.1 shots on target per game last season, but their open style away can expose them, per. They seek a first-leg advantage.
Head-to-Head
This is the first competitive meeting between Shkëndija and Qarabağ, per. Matches between Macedonian and Azerbaijani sides in UEFA competitions are rare, but trends suggest 2.5 goals per game, with 50% over 2.5 goals and 50% both teams scoring (BTTS).
Predicted Score: KF Shkëndija 79 1-2 Qarabağ FK
This first-leg clash on August 5, 2025, at Ecolog Arena, Tetovo, at 8:00 PM CEST (2:00 PM EDT), is a sell-out, broadcast live on beIN SPORTS CONNECT, per. Shkëndija’s Latifi and Ibraimi face Qarabağ’s Andrade and Zoubir, with Shkëndija’s home form (2 straight competitive home wins) tested by Qarabağ’s experience (3 wins in last 4 away games), per. Qarabağ are favorites (-130 odds) over Shkëndija (+280), with a draw at +230, per. Trends (Shkëndija: 50% over 2.5 goals; Qarabağ: 60%) and Qarabağ’s shot volume (32 shots faced by FCSB vs. Shkëndija) suggest goals, but betting tips favor under 2.5 goals (-109 odds) and BTTS No (-119), per. Referee Jesús Gil Manzano may issue cards if Shkëndija’s set-piece issues persist in the 20°C evening. Qarabağ is likely to score through Andrade, with Tamba possibly netting for Shkëndija. Qarabağ’s experience and attacking efficiency should secure a narrow away win, though Shkëndija’s home crowd and counter-attacks keep it competitive
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