27th July Brazil Serie A - Flamengo VS Atletico Mineiro Prediction

Brazil Serie A - Flamengo VS Atletico Mineiro
Match Time:28-07-2025 07:30 Monday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Flamengo
Flamengo, coached by Tite, is 2nd in the 2025 Serie A with 28 points from 15 matches (8 wins, 4 draws, 3 losses). They won 2-0 against Fluminense on July 20, 2025, with goals from Gabriel Barbosa and Pedro. Their form shows 4 wins and 1 loss in their last five, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded. Key players include Pedro (6 goals), Bruno Henrique, and goalkeeper Agustín Rossi. Flamengo’s strengths are their attacking depth and home dominance at Estádio do Maracanã (2.5 points per game at home), but injuries to Éverton Cebolinha and Matías Viña may impact their lineup. They aim to maintain their title challenge.
Atlético Mineiro
Atlético Mineiro, led by Gabriel Milito, is 9th with 18 points from 15 matches (5 wins, 3 draws, 7 losses). They lost 2-1 to Bahia on July 19, 2025, despite a late goal. Their form includes 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last five, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded. Key players include Hulk (4 goals), Paulinho, and goalkeeper Everson. Atlético’s strengths are their physicality and counter-attacks, but their away form (1 point per game) and injuries to Gustavo Scarpa and Alan Franco are concerns. They target a top-six finish for Copa Libertadores qualification.
Head-to-Head
Flamengo and Atlético Mineiro have met 47 times, with Flamengo winning 20, Atlético 13, and 14 draws. Flamengo won 1-0 in the 2024 Copa do Brasil final (Gonzalo Plata) and drew 1-1 in their last league meeting on July 4, 2024, at Maracanã. Matches average 2.71 goals, with 45% both teams scoring (BTTS) and 40% over 2.5 goals, per web sources. Flamengo are unbeaten in their last 3 against Atlético (2 wins, 1 draw), with all 6 recent games having 0 or 1 goal in the first half.
Predicted Score: Flamengo 2-1 Atlético Mineiro
This Matchweek 16 clash on July 27, 2025, at Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro, at 11:30 PM BRT (10:30 PM EDT), is a key test for Flamengo’s title hopes. Flamengo’s Pedro and Henrique face Atlético’s Hulk and Paulinho, with Flamengo’s home form (53% win rate) testing Atlético’s weaker away record (41% win rate). Flamengo are favorites (-140 odds) over Atlético (+320), with a draw at +250, per web sources. Trends (Flamengo: 50% over 2.5 goals; Atlético: 33%) and H2H (under 9.5 corners in last 4) suggest a tight, low-scoring game. The 22°C evening may see cards if Atlético’s physicality rises. Flamengo is likely to score through Pedro, with Hulk possibly netting for Atlético. Flamengo’s home strength and H2H edge should secure a narrow win, though Atlético’s counter-attacks keep it close.
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