27th July Brazil Serie A - Sao Paulo VS Fluminense RJ Prediction

Brazil Serie A - Sao Paulo VS Fluminense RJ
Match Time:28-07-2025 03:00 Monday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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São Paulo
São Paulo, coached by Luis Zubeldía, is 14th in the 2025 Serie A with 12 points from 15 matches (3 wins, 3 draws, 9 losses). They lost 2-1 to Bahia on July 19, 2025, extending a three-match winless streak. Their form includes 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last five, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded. Key players include Luciano and William Gomes, but injuries to Luis, Wellington, Maia, Galoppo, Liziero, Calleri, Gonçalves, Peixoto, Sam, Conti, and Kaike severely limit their squad. São Paulo’s strengths are their midfield creativity, but their depleted roster and focus on 2026 Copa Libertadores preparations may lead to rotations. They aim to climb the table at MorumBIS, where over 30,000 tickets have been sold.
Fluminense RJ
Fluminense, led by Mano Menezes, is 7th with 20 points from 15 matches (6 wins, 2 draws, 7 losses). They lost 2-0 to Flamengo on July 20, 2025, ending a strong run. Their form shows 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last five, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 goal conceded. Key players include Kevin Serna (3 goals), Jhon Arias (4 assists), and Matheus Martinelli. Fluminense’s strengths are their attacking pace and counter-attacks, but their away form is less potent. They target a top-six finish for Copa Libertadores qualification.
Head-to-Head
São Paulo and Fluminense have met 48 times, with Fluminense winning 19, São Paulo 17, and 12 draws. Fluminense won 1-0 on September 1, 2024, at Maracanã, but São Paulo won 2-0 on May 13, 2024, at MorumBIS. Matches average 2.58 goals, with 50% over 2.5 goals and 50% both teams scoring (BTTS), though the last two were under 2.5 goals. São Paulo’s home record against Fluminense gives them an edge.
Predicted Score: São Paulo 1-1 Fluminense RJ
This Matchweek 16 clash on July 27, 2025, at Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (MorumBIS), São Paulo, at 4:00 PM BRT (3:00 PM EDT), is crucial for both teams. São Paulo’s Luciano faces Fluminense’s Serna and Arias, with São Paulo’s home crowd testing Fluminense’s away form. Fluminense are slight favorites (-110 odds) due to their better form, with São Paulo at +250 and a draw at +230. Trends (São Paulo: 52% over 2.5 goals at home; Fluminense: 33% over 2.5 away) suggest a low-scoring game. The 22°C afternoon may see cards if Fluminense’s physicality rises. São Paulo may score through Luciano, with Serna or Arias netting for Fluminense. São Paulo’s home fight and Fluminense’s counter-attacks point to a draw, with both teams’ inconsistencies limiting goals.
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