July 13th Argentine Division 1 - Atletico Tucuman VS San Martin San Juan Prediciton
Argentine Division 1 - Atletico Tucuman VS San Martin San Juan
Match Time:14-07-2025 03:30 Monday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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The Argentine Primera División 2025 Clausura Matchday 1 clash between Atlético Tucumán and San Martín de San Juan is set for July 13, 2025, at 16:30 local time (15:30 UTC) at Estadio Monumental José Fierro, San Miguel de Tucumán. This opening fixture pits a resurgent Atlético Tucumán, coming off a strong Apertura finish, against a newly promoted San Martín de San Juan, who face relegation pressure after a challenging return to the top flight.
Atlético Tucumán Review
Atlético Tucumán, coached by Lucas Pusineri, finished 10th in the 2024-25 Apertura with 16 points (W5-D1-L10), bolstered by key wins over Independiente (2-1) and Lanús (1-0). Their 4-4-2 formation features Mateo Coronel (4 goals, 2 assists) and Leandro Díaz (3 goals), with Ramiro Ruiz Rodríguez providing 3 assists. The return of Luis "Pulga" Rodríguez from Colón adds experience, though Matías Orihuela’s departure to San Martín weakens the defense. Atlético averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, with a stronger home record (3W-1D-1L, 1.4 goals scored). Recent form includes a 1-0 win over Lanús on May 4, 2025, but injuries to Iván Tesuri and Juan Infante (both cruciate ligament tears) are concerns. Recent form: WLDWL
San Martín de San Juan Review
San Martín de San Juan, under Leandro "Pipi" Romagnoli, earned promotion to the Primera División after five years in Primera Nacional, but sit last in the general table and relegation averages (0.378 behind Aldosivi). Their 4-2-3-1 formation relies on Leandro Díaz (1 goal, on loan from Atlético) and Adrián Sánchez (1 goal), with new signings Lautaro Salles, Maximiliano García, and Matías Orihuela bolstering the squad. San Martín’s form is poor, with losses in 7 of their last 8 Primera División games, including a 3-1 Copa Argentina defeat to Racing on July 2, 2025. They average 0.2 goals scored and 0.4 conceded in the first half, with a 5-game away first-half draw streak. Injuries to Alejandro Álvarez and suspensions for Diego Lecanda and Joaquín Iacobellis weaken their lineup. Recent form: LLLWL
Head to Head
Atlético Tucumán lead the H2H with 6 wins to San Martín’s 3, with no draws in 9 meetings since 2011. Recent results:
January 24, 2025 (Apertura, San Juan): Atlético Tucumán 1-0 San Martín (Coronel goal).
August 31, 2024 (Primera Nacional): San Martín 1-0 Atlético Tucumán.
July 2, 2023 (Primera Nacional): Atlético Tucumán 2-1 San Martín. Average goals per match: 2.66, with 44% over 2.5 goals and 44% both teams scoring. Atlético have won the last three H2H matches, including a 1-0 away victory in January 2025.
Prediction: Atlético Tucumán 1-0 San Martín de San Juan.
Atlético Tucumán’s home form (1.4 goals scored per game) and H2H dominance (3 straight wins) make them favorites against a relegation-threatened San Martín, whose 7 losses in 8 and depleted squad (suspensions, injuries) limit their threat. Atlético’s attack, led by Coronel and Díaz, should exploit San Martín’s shaky defense (3 goals conceded vs Racing). Bookmakers give Atlético a 57% win probability (odds ~1.75), with under 2.5 goals at 1.53 (San Martín’s 8/9 games) and a first-half draw at 2.00 (San Martín’s 5-game trend). San Martín’s new signings (Orihuela, Salles) may create chances, but Atlético’s home edge and Pulga Rodríguez’s return should secure a narrow victory. Coronel or Díaz to score, Durso to keep a clean sheet
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