23rd Aug. Italian Serie A---AS Roma VS Bologna Prediction

Italian Serie A - AS Roma VS Bologna
Match Time:24-08-2025 02:45 Sunday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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AS Roma
AS Roma, now coached by Gian Piero Gasperini, is coming off a fifth-place finish in 2024/25, securing UEFA Europa League qualification. Their recent form includes one win, two draws, and two losses in five pre-season matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, with a 2-2 draw against Bologna on January 12, 2025 (Alexis Saelemaekers 58’, Artem Dovbyk 90+8’ for Roma). Key players include Paulo Dybala, Matías Soulé, and Artem Dovbyk, with a probable 3-5-2 lineup: Svilar; Ghilardi, Mancini, N’Dicka; Rensch, Pisilli, Cristante, Angelino; Dybala, Soulé; Dovbyk. Strengths include their attacking quality (26 goals in 2024/25 Serie A) and home atmosphere, but injuries to Lorenzo Pellegrini and Leon Bailey (both out) and a depleted squad (7 midfielders, 6 forwards) are concerns. Roma aim to start their campaign strongly, despite not winning their last five matches against Bologna.
Bologna
Bologna, led by Vincenzo Italiano, finished 9th last season and won the 2024/25 Coppa Italia, qualifying for the Europa League. Their recent form shows one win, two draws, and two losses in five competitive matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded, with a 2-2 draw against Roma on January 12, 2025 (Thijs Dallinga 61’, Lewis Ferguson 65’ pen). Key players include Riccardo Orsolini (6 goals, 2 assists in 2024/25), Dallinga, and Lewis Ferguson, with a probable 4-2-3-1 lineup: Ravaglia; Posch, Casale, Lucumí, Lykogiannis; Moro, Freuler; Orsolini, Odgaard, Karlsson; Dallinga. Strengths include their midfield solidity and Orsolini’s flair, but injuries to Emil Holm and Ciro Immobile, plus doubts over Federico Bernardeschi and Ferguson’s fitness, are issues. They aim to continue their recent dominance over Roma, having won three and drawn two of their last five visits.
Head-to-Head
As shown in the sports card above, Roma and Bologna have met 37 times since 1930, with Roma winning 12, Bologna 12, and 13 draws. Recent results include a 2-2 draw on January 12, 2025 (Dallinga, Ferguson for Bologna; Saelemaekers, Dovbyk for Roma) and a 3-2 Bologna win on November 10, 2024. At Stadio Olimpico, Roma have won 7, drawn 7, and lost 4, but Bologna have been unbeaten in their last five visits (3 wins, 2 draws). Matches average 2.3 goals, with 54% both teams scoring (BTTS) and 38% over 2.5 goals, indicating competitive, often low-scoring games.
Predicted Score: AS Roma 1-1 Bologna
Roma’s Dybala and Dovbyk face Bologna’s Orsolini and Dallinga, with Roma’s home strength tested by Bologna’s recent H2H edge and defensive organization. Roma are slight favorites (2.10 odds, 48% win probability) over Bologna (3.50), with a draw at 3.25. Trends (Roma: 60% under 2.5 goals; Bologna: 60% BTTS) and H2H suggest a tight game, with betting tips favoring double chance X1 (Roma or draw, 1.30) and under 2.5 goals (1.72). Cards are likely in the 22°C evening, with Roma’s 10 fouls and Bologna’s 11 per game suggesting 4-5 cards under Abisso’s whistle. Roma aim to break Bologna’s streak, while Bologna seek to maintain their edge. Roma may score through Dybala, with Orsolini likely netting for Bologna. Roma’s home form balances Bologna’s recent dominance, leading to a draw that aligns with their competitive H2H and low-scoring trends.
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