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19 Aug. UEFA Champions League - Ferencvarosi TC VS Qarabag Prediction

19 Aug. UEFA Champions League - Ferencvarosi TC VS Qarabag Prediction
UEFA Champions League  -  Ferencvarosi TC VS Qarabag
Match Time:20-08-2025 03:00 Wednesday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips

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Ferencvárosi TC
Ferencvárosi TC, coached by Robbie Keane, advanced past Ludogorets Razgrad with a 3-0 win (3-0 aggregate) in the third qualifying round on August 12, 2025. Their recent form includes three wins and two losses in five competitive matches, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Key players include Zsombor Gruber (3 goals, 2 assists in 3 UCL matches), Barnabás Varga, and Naby Keïta, with a probable 4-2-3-1 lineup: Gróf; Botka, Nagy, Raemaekers, Cissé; Keïta, Maïga; Gruber, Zachariassen, Joseph; Varga. Strengths include their attacking output (7 goals in 3 UCL qualifiers) and home form (unbeaten in last 5 home games), but Krisztián Lisztes’s muscle injury and a recent 2-0 league loss to Puskás Akadémia are concerns. They aim to take a lead into the second leg, leveraging their home advantage.

Ferencvárosi TC
Ferencvárosi TC, coached by Robbie Keane, advanced past Ludogorets Razgrad with a 3-0 win (3-0 aggregate) in the third qualifying round on August 12, 2025. Their recent form includes three wins and two losses in five competitive matches, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Key players include Zsombor Gruber (3 goals, 2 assists in 3 UCL matches), Barnabás Varga, and Naby Keïta, with a probable 4-2-3-1 lineup: Gróf; Botka, Nagy, Raemaekers, Cissé; Keïta, Maïga; Gruber, Zachariassen, Joseph; Varga. Strengths include their attacking output (7 goals in 3 UCL qualifiers) and home form (unbeaten in last 5 home games), but Krisztián Lisztes’s muscle injury and a recent 2-0 league loss to Puskás Akadémia are concerns. They aim to take a lead into the second leg, leveraging their home advantage.

Head-to-Head
Ferencváros and Qarabağ have met three times recently. Qarabağ won 4-2 on aggregate in the 2022 UCL qualifiers (1-1 in Baku, 3-1 in Budapest) and drew 3-3 in a 2023 friendly. Matches average 4.0 goals, with 100% over 1.5 goals and 100% both teams scoring (BTTS). Qarabağ scored in the first half in all three games, while Ferencváros have never beaten Qarabağ, making this a challenging matchup.

Predicted Score: Ferencvárosi TC 2-2 Qarabağ FK
Ferencváros’s Gruber and Varga face Qarabağ’s Qurbanlı and Addai, with Ferencváros’s home strength tested by Qarabağ’s attacking form and H2H edge. Ferencváros are slight favorites (1.93 odds, 42% win probability) over Qarabağ (4.20), with a draw at 3.60. Trends (Ferencváros: 80% over 2.5 goals; Qarabağ: 100%) and H2H suggest a high-scoring game, with betting tips favoring BTTS (1.70) and over 2.5 goals (1.95). Cards may be issued in the 22°C evening, with Ferencváros’s 11 fouls and Qarabağ’s 10 per game suggesting 4-5 cards. Ferencváros aim for a first-leg lead, while Qarabağ seek to maintain their unbeaten record against them. The winner of the two-legged tie advances to the UCL league phase; the loser enters the Europa League. Ferencváros may score through Gruber, with Qurbanlı likely netting for Qarabağ. Ferencváros’s home form balances Qarabağ’s attacking momentum and H2H dominance, leading to a draw with both teams scoring, keeping the tie open for the second leg.
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