15 Aug. Germany Cup - Arminia Bielefeld VS Werder Bremen Prediction
Germany Cup - Arminia Bielefeld VS Werder Bremen
Match Time:16-08-2025 02:45 Saturday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Arminia Bielefeld
Arminia Bielefeld, coached by Michel Kniat, enters as 2. Bundesliga leaders after promotion from the 3. Liga and a runner-up finish in last season’s DFB-Pokal (lost 4-2 to Stuttgart). They’ve won their first two league games, 5-1 over Fortuna Düsseldorf and 2-0 at Holstein Kiel, averaging 3.5 goals scored and 0.5 goals conceded. Key players include Joel Grodowski (2 goals), Noah Joel Sarenren Bazee, and Sam Schreck, with a probable 3-4-3 lineup: Kersken; Lannert, Schneider, Grosser; Schreck, Russo, Corboz, Handwerker; Grodowski, Bazee, Mehlem. Their strengths are their attacking form (7 goals in 2 games) and home record (9 wins in 11 competitive home matches), but injuries to Jonas Thomas Kersken (doubtful) and a demanding schedule are concerns. They aim to upset another Bundesliga side, having beaten four last season, including Werder (2-1, February 25, 2025).
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen, led by new coach Horst Steffen, finished 8th in the 2024-25 Bundesliga but are winless in their last five friendlies, including a 1-0 loss to Udinese on August 9, 2025, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded. Key players include Keke Topp, Marco Friedl, and Niklas Stark, with a probable 4-3-3 lineup: Backhaus; Stark, Friedl, Pieper; Malatini, Lynen, Alvero, Deman; Aaroen, Opitz, Topp. Their strengths are their away form (4 wins in last 5 competitive away games) and squad depth, but injuries to Jens Stage (foot), Amos Pieper (hip), Mitchell Weiser (ACL), Maximilian Wöber (knee), and Justin Njinmah (muscular) are significant. They aim to avoid another first-round exit, having been knocked out twice in the last four seasons, and seek revenge for last season’s DFB-Pokal loss to Arminia.
Head-to-Head
As per the sports card, Arminia’s record against Werder in the Bundesliga is 9-4-21, with a -30 goal differential. In the DFB-Pokal, Arminia won both prior meetings: 3-1 in 2015 and 2-1 in 2024-25 (quarter-final). Recent matches include Arminia’s 2-1 win (February 25, 2025, DFB-Pokal) and Werder’s 2-0 Bundesliga win (March 10, 2021). Matches average 2.8 goals, with 50% over 2.5 goals and 60% both teams scoring (BTTS). Arminia’s recent Pokal success contrasts with Werder’s 24-12-5 overall H2H edge.
Predicted Score: Arminia Bielefeld 2-1 Werder Bremen
Arminia’s Grodowski and Bazee face Werder’s Topp and Aaroen, with Arminia’s home form and attacking momentum tested by Werder’s Bundesliga quality despite their injury concerns. Arminia are slight underdogs (+260 odds) to Werder’s (+100), with a draw at +250, per Tips.GG. Trends (Arminia: 80% over 2.5 goals; Werder: 40%) and H2H suggest goals, with betting tips favoring Arminia Draw No Bet (1.90) and BTTS (1.78). Cards are likely in the 18°C evening, with Arminia’s 27 fouls and 9 yellows in five games and Werder’s 3 yellows suggesting 4-6 cards. The winner advances to the second round; the loser is eliminated. Arminia is likely to score through Grodowski, with Topp possibly netting for Werder. Arminia’s home form, recent Pokal upset history, and Werder’s injury woes and poor pre-season (0-1-4 in friendlies) tilt the scales toward a narrow Arminia win, aligning with Sports Mole’s 2-1 prediction. Werder’s away strength may keep it close, but Arminia’s momentum should prevail.
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