15 Aug. France Ligue 1 - Rennes VS Marseille Prediction
France Ligue 1 - Rennes VS Marseille
Match Time:16-08-2025 02:45 Saturday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Stade Rennais
Rennes, coached by Habib Beye, begins the 2025-26 season after a disappointing 12th-place finish in 2024-25. Their recent form includes a 2-2 pre-season draw against Genoa on August 9, 2025, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded in five pre-season friendlies. Key players include Désiré Doué, Amine Gouiri, and Arnaud Kalimuendo, with a probable 4-2-3-1 lineup: Mandanda; Assignon, Theate, Omari, Truffert; Santamaria, Matusiwa; Doué, Gouiri, Blas; Kalimuendo. Rennes’ strengths are their midfield creativity and home support, but injuries to Lilian Brassier (doubtful) and significant outgoings (Kyogo Furuhashi, Azor Matusiwa) are concerns. They aim to start strongly at home, where they won 2-0 against Marseille in March 2024.
Olympique de Marseille
Marseille, led by Roberto De Zerbi, finished 2nd last season, securing Champions League qualification. They come off a 3-1 pre-season win over Aston Villa on August 9, 2025, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded in five pre-season friendlies. Key players include Mason Greenwood (joint-top Ligue 1 scorer with 21 goals), Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, and new signing Timothy Weah, with a probable 4-2-3-1 lineup: Rulli; Murillo, Medina, Balerdi, Garcia; Hojbjerg, Rabiot; Greenwood, Gomes, Weah; Aubameyang. Marseille’s strengths are their attacking firepower (74 goals in 2024-25) and depth, but a busy pre-season schedule may cause fatigue. They aim to continue their strong record against Rennes, having won 4-2 and 2-1 last season.
Head-to-Head
The sports card above details their Ligue 1 history: Marseille lead with 4 wins to Rennes’ 2 in six matches since March 2023, scoring 10 goals to Rennes’ 6. Recent games include Marseille’s 4-2 win on May 17, 2025 (Mason Greenwood brace), and 2-1 win on January 11, 2025. Matches average 2.7 goals, with 50% over 2.5 goals and 50% both teams scoring (BTTS). Marseille have won their last four visits to Rennes, including a 2-0 win in December 2023.
Predicted Score: Rennes 1-3 Marseille
Rennes’ Doué and Kalimuendo face Marseille’s Greenwood and Aubameyang, with Rennes’ home passion tested by Marseille’s attacking quality. Marseille are favorites (1.91 odds, 52% win probability) over Rennes (3.75), with a draw at 3.80, per Tips.GG. Trends (Rennes: 40% BTTS; Marseille: 60% over 2.5 goals) and H2H suggest goals, with betting tips favoring Marseille Draw No Bet (1.36) and over 2.5 goals (1.93). Cards may be issued in the 18°C evening, with Rennes’ 12 fouls per game and Marseille’s 10 suggesting 4-5 cards. Marseille aim to extend their H2H dominance, while Rennes seek a home upset. Marseille is likely to score through Greenwood and Aubameyang, with Kalimuendo possibly netting for Rennes. Marseille’s attacking form and H2H edge should secure a convincing win, aligning with Sports Mole’s 1-3 prediction, though Rennes’ home form may keep it competitive early.
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