15 Aug. Spanish La Liga - Girona VS Rayo Vallecano Prediction
Spanish La Liga - Girona VS Rayo Vallecano
Match Time:16-08-2025 01:00 Saturday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Girona
Girona, coached by Míchel, starts the 2025-26 La Liga season after a disappointing 16th-place finish last term, narrowly avoiding relegation. Their recent form includes a 3-2 pre-season win over Napoli on August 10, 2025, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded in five pre-season friendlies. Key players include Thomas Lemar (on loan from Atlético Madrid), Hugo Rincón, and Vitor Reis, with a probable 4-2-3-1 lineup: Gazzaniga; Rincón, Reis, Blind, Krejčí; Herrera, Solís; Tsygankov, Lemar, Asprilla; Miovski. Girona’s strengths are their new signings and home support, but injuries to Miguel Gutierrez (ankle, likely transferring to Napoli), Ricard Artero, Ivan Martín, Donny van de Beek, and Abel Ruiz are concerns. They aim to kick off with a strong home performance, unlike their winless 2024-25 opener.
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano, led by Íñigo Pérez, finished 8th last season, earning a Conference League playoff spot. They drew 0-0 with Mallorca in La Liga on August 10, 2025, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 goal conceded in five pre-season friendlies. Key players include Augusto Batalla (permanent signing from River Plate), Luiz Felipe, and Álvaro García, with a probable 4-2-3-1 lineup: Batalla; Balliu, Felipe, Lejeune, Espino; Palazón, Ciss, Valentín, García; De Frutos, Nteka. Rayo’s strengths are their defensive solidity (two clean sheets in three games) and European aspirations, but an injury to Abdul Mumin (knee) and doubts over Josua Vertrouwd’s registration are issues. They aim to repeat their strong away performances, like their 2-1 win at Girona in January 2025.
Head-to-Head
The sports card above details their La Liga history: Girona have 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses in 10 matches, with a +7 goal differential (17 scored, 10 conceded). Recent games include a 0-0 draw at Girona (September 25, 2024) and a 2-1 Rayo win at home (January 26, 2025). Matches average 2.7 goals, with 30% over 2.5 goals and 50% both teams scoring (BTTS). Girona are unbeaten at home against Rayo in their last three meetings (2 wins, 1 draw).
Predicted Score: Girona 1-1 Rayo Vallecano
Girona’s Tsygankov and Lemar face Rayo’s García and De Frutos, with Girona’s home advantage tested by Rayo’s defensive resilience. Girona are slight favorites (+135 odds) over Rayo (+210), with a draw at +230, per Tips.GG. Trends (Girona: 40% BTTS; Rayo: 20% over 2.5 goals) and H2H suggest a low-scoring game, with betting tips favoring under 2.5 goals (-110) and BTTS-No (1.85). Cards may be issued in the 24°C evening, with Rayo’s 14 fouls per game and Girona’s physicality suggesting 3-4 cards. Both teams aim for a strong start, with Girona leveraging home form and Rayo seeking points as underdogs. Girona may score through Tsygankov, with García possibly netting for Rayo. Girona’s home edge is balanced by Rayo’s defensive solidity and away form, leading to a draw, aligning with Sports Mole’s prediction and recent H2H trends.
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