14th Aug. Copa Libertadores - Botafogo RJ VS Liga Dep. Universitaria Quito Prediction
Copa Libertadores - Botafogo RJ VS Liga Dep. Universitaria Quito
Match Time:15-08-2025 06:00 Friday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Botafogo RJ
Botafogo, coached by Davide Ancelotti, enters as defending Copa Libertadores champions after winning the 2024 title. They come off a 1-0 Serie A win over São Paulo on August 10, 2025, with a goal from Arthur Cabral. Their recent form includes three wins and one loss in four competitive matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 goal conceded. Key players include Cabral (3 goals), Jefferson Savarino, and Alex Telles, with a probable 4-2-3-1 lineup: John; Vitinho, Barboza, David Ricardo, Telles; Danilo, Marlon; Savarino, Montoro, Artur; Cabral. Botafogo’s strengths are their home dominance (5 wins in last 6 home games) and attacking reinforcements (Neto, Danilo, Joaquín Correa), but a loss to Pachuca (3-0) in the FIFA Intercontinental Cup and a rotated squad are concerns. They aim to leverage their titleholder status to take a first-leg lead.
Liga Deportiva Universitaria (LDU) Quito
LDU Quito, led by Pablo Repetto, is in strong form after a 3-0 LigaPro win over Deportivo Cuenca on August 10, 2025, with goals not specified. They averaged 2.8 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded in their last five competitive matches, including a 4-2 win at Universidad Católica. Key players include Michael Estrada, Jeison Medina, and Ricardo Adé, with a probable 4-2-3-1 lineup: Valle; Quintero, Adé, Rodríguez, Villamil; Piovi, Angulo; Arce, Estrada, Cabeza; Medina. LDU’s strengths are their attacking momentum (4 wins in last 5) and continental experience (2008 champions), but injuries to Lisandro Alzugaray and doubts over Alexander Domínguez (knock) are issues. They aim to secure a positive result away to keep their quarter-final hopes alive, as in their 2024 group stage win over Botafogo (1-0).
Head-to-Head
Botafogo and LDU Quito have met three times since 2023: LDU won 1-0 (April 11, 2024, Copa Libertadores, Lisandro Alzugaray goal), Botafogo won 2-1 (May 8, 2024, Copa Libertadores), and they drew 0-0 (June 6, 2023, Copa Sudamericana). Matches average 1.0 goal, with 0% over 2.5 goals and 33% both teams scoring (BTTS). LDU won their only visit to Nilton Santos (0-0, 2023), giving them a slight historical edge.
Predicted Score: Botafogo RJ 1-0 Liga Deportiva Universitaria Quito
Botafogo’s Cabral and Savarino face LDU’s Estrada and Medina, with Botafogo’s home strength tested by LDU’s counter-attacking threat. Botafogo are favorites (1.53 odds, 65% win probability) over LDU (5.50), with a draw at 4.00, per Football Whispers. Trends (Botafogo: 80% over 2.5 goals; LDU: 80%) contrast with H2H’s low-scoring history, with betting tips favoring under 2.5 goals (2.20 odds) and BTTS-No (1.85). Cards may be issued in the 24°C evening, with LDU’s 16 fouls per game and Botafogo’s 14 suggesting 4-5 cards. The winner gains an edge for the second leg on August 21; a draw keeps the tie open. Botafogo is likely to score through Cabral, with LDU struggling to convert due to Botafogo’s home defensive record. Botafogo’s quality and home form should secure a narrow win, aligning with their favored status, but LDU’s defensive solidity and 2024 win at Nilton Santos keep it tight.
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