14th Aug. UEFA Conference League - Vaduz VS AZ Alkmaar Prediction

UEFA Conference League - Vaduz VS AZ Alkmaar
Match Time:15-08-2025 01:30 Friday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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FC Vaduz
FC Vaduz, coached by Marc Schneider, faces a daunting 3-0 deficit from the first leg against AZ Alkmaar on August 7, 2025, where they failed to register a shot on target. They rebounded with a 3-0 win over Stade Nyonnais in the Swiss Challenge League on August 10, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.0 goal conceded in their last three competitive matches. Key players include Nicolas Hasler, Dominik Schwizer, and Jonathan De Donno, with a probable 4-3-3 lineup: Schaffran; Hasler, Simani, Berisha, Schwizer; Eberhard, Mack, Seiler; Fernandes, De Donno, Monsberger. Vaduz’s strengths are their home form (5 wins in last 7 home games) and set-piece threat, but their lack of attacking edge against top-tier sides and injuries to Cédric Gasser and Malik Sawadogo are concerns. They need a miraculous three-goal comeback to force extra time, with a loss dropping them out of European competition.
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar, led by Maarten Martens, is in a commanding position after a 3-0 first-leg win, with Troy Parrott scoring twice (29', 74') and Mexx Meerdink adding a late goal (80'). They followed with a 4-1 Eredivisie win over Groningen on August 10, averaging 3.7 goals scored and 1.0 goal conceded in their last three competitive matches. Key players include Parrott (8 goals in 4 recent games), Ernest Poku, and Sven Mijnans, with a probable 4-3-1-2 lineup: Zoet; Kasius, Goes, Penetra, De Wit; Clasie, Smit, Mijnans; Sadiq; Parrott, Meerdink. AZ’s strengths are their attacking fluency (15 goals in last 5 games) and possession control (85.7% pass accuracy vs. Vaduz), but injuries to Rome-Jayden Owusu-Oduro, Kristijan Belić, Seiya Maikuma, and Lequincio Zeefuik are issues. They aim to secure a playoff round spot against the loser of the Viktoria Plzen/Rangers Champions League tie.
Head-to-Head
AZ won the first leg 3-0 on August 7, 2025, at AFAS Stadion (Attendance: 11,476). Vaduz had 42.9% possession, 7 shots (0 on target), and 2 corners, while AZ had 57.1% possession, 14 shots (8 on target), and 6 corners. Previous meetings include AZ’s 2-1 (2022) and 4-1 (2022) Conference League wins. Matches average 3.3 goals, with 67% over 2.5 goals and 33% both teams scoring (BTTS). AZ lead 3-0 in competitive H2H.
Predicted Score: FC Vaduz 1-2 AZ Alkmaar (1-5 aggregate)
Vaduz’s De Donno and Hasler face AZ’s Parrott and Meerdink, with Vaduz’s home passion tested by AZ’s attacking dominance. AZ are heavy favorites (1.30 odds, 77% win probability) over Vaduz (6.60), with a draw at 5.40, per Tips.GG. Trends (Vaduz: 40% BTTS; AZ: 60% over 2.5 goals) and H2H suggest goals, with betting tips favoring AZ -1.5 Asian Handicap (1.85) and over 2.5 goals (1.71). Cards may be issued in the 20°C evening if Vaduz’s high foul count (14 in first leg) persists, with AZ’s 3 yellows last match noted. The winner advances to the Conference League playoff round; the loser is eliminated. AZ is likely to score through Parrott, with De Donno possibly netting for Vaduz. AZ’s attacking form, possession control, and three-goal lead should secure a comfortable win, advancing them to the playoff round, though Vaduz’s home form may yield a consolation goal, aligning with Sports Mole’s 2-1 Vaduz prediction (4-2 aggregate for AZ).
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