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14th Aug. UEFA Europa League - KuPs VS FK Rigas Futbola skola Prediction

14th Aug. UEFA Europa League - KuPs VS FK Rigas Futbola skola Prediction
UEFA Europa League  -  KuPs VS FK Rigas Futbola skola
Match Time:14-08-2025 23:00 Thursday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips

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KuPS Kuopio
KuPS, coached by Jarkko Wiss, holds a 2-1 lead from the first leg against FK Rigas Futbola Skola (RFS) on August 6, 2025, with goals from Jaakko Oksanen (14') and Mohamed Toure (24'). They recently won 2-0 against KTP in the Finnish Veikkausliiga on August 9, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 goal conceded in their last three competitive matches. Key players include Oksanen, Toure, and Petteri Pennanen, with a probable 4-2-3-1 lineup: Kreidl; Savolainen, Cissé, Miettinen, Armah; Oksanen, Arifi; Luyeye-Lutumba, Ruoppi, Pennanen; Toure. KuPS’s strengths are their unbeaten home record at Väre Areena (5 wins in last 5 competitive home games, no goals conceded) and counter-attacking pace. However, doubts over Rémy Vita and Youssouf Assogba’s fitness are concerns. They aim to protect their lead and advance to the playoff round against the loser of the Copenhagen/Malmö Champions League tie.

FK Rigas Futbola Skola (RFS)
RFS, led by Viktors Morozs, is looking to overturn a 2-1 deficit after Barthelemy Diedhiou’s 61st-minute goal in the first leg. They bounced back with a 4-1 win over Super Nova in the Latvian Virsliga on August 10, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.3 goals conceded in their last three competitive matches. Key players include Diedhiou, Davis Ikaunieks, and Stefan Panic, with a probable 4-3-3 lineup: Maric; Maraes, Lipucek, Stuglis, Savalnieks; Rakic, Panic, Zelenkovs; Wouter, Ikaunieks, Diedhiou. RFS’s strengths are their attacking depth (6 wins in last 7 away games) and high pressing, but Janis Ikaunieks’ suspension (red card vs. Malmö) and a first-leg loss at home are issues. They aim to capitalize on their away form to reach the playoff round, with a loss dropping them to the Conference League.

Head-to-Head
KuPS won the first leg 2-1 on August 6, 2025, their only competitive meeting. The match saw 3 goals, with 7 corners for RFS and 2 for KuPS, and 59% possession for RFS. Historically, matches between Finnish and Latvian clubs average 2.5 goals, with 50% over 2.5 goals and 50% both teams scoring (BTTS). KuPS’s first-leg win gives them a slight edge.

Predicted Score: KuPS 1-0 FK Rigas Futbola Skola (3-1 aggregate)
KuPS’s Oksanen and Toure face RFS’s Diedhiou and Ikaunieks, with KuPS’s home fortress tested by RFS’s away scoring prowess. KuPS are favorites (+108 odds) over RFS (+210), with a draw at +230. Trends (KuPS: 50% over 2.5 goals; RFS: 60%) and the first leg suggest goals, with betting tips favoring over 2.5 goals (-133) and BTTS (-167). Cards may be issued in the 18°C evening if RFS’s pressing leads to fouls, with RFS receiving 3 yellows in the first leg. The winner advances to the Europa League playoff round; the loser drops to the Conference League play-offs. KuPS is likely to score through Toure, with RFS struggling to convert due to KuPS’s home defensive record. KuPS’s unbeaten home form and first-leg lead should secure a narrow win, advancing them to the playoff round, though RFS’s away threat keeps it close.
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