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14th Aug. African Nations Championship - Morocco VS Zambia Prediction

14th Aug. African Nations Championship - Morocco VS Zambia Prediction
African Nations Championship  -  Morocco VS Zambia
Match Time:14-08-2025 22:00 Thursday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips

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Morocco
Morocco, coached by Tarek Sektioui, enters with a 2-0 win over Angola (goals by Imad Riahi and an own goal), but lost 2-0 to Kenya in their last Group A match. They average 1.5 goals scored and 0.5 goals conceded in their two CHAN games. Key players include Riahi, Amine Souane, and Zakaria Ouahdi, with a probable 4-3-3 lineup: Zniti; Ouahdi, El Wafi, Boukram, El Ouahdi; Souane, El Ghezouani, Maouhoub; Riahi, El Morabit, El Ouazzani. Strengths are their defensive solidity and domestic talent, but their recent loss raises concerns. They aim to secure a quarter-final spot.

Zambia
Zambia, led by Avram Grant, is winless after 2-0 losses to DR Congo and Angola in Group A, averaging 0.5 goals scored and 2.0 goals conceded. Key players include Kelvin Kampamba, John Ching’andu, and Frederick Mulambia, with a probable 4-2-3-1 lineup: Mulenga; Chepeshi, Chama, Mwape, Shamujompa; Mulambia, Chabala; Ching’andu, Kampamba, Kanguluma; Mulenga. Strengths are their counter-attacking potential, but defensive weaknesses and lack of cohesion are issues. They aim to avoid elimination.

Head-to-Head
Morocco leads with 4 wins to Zambia’s 1 in their last five meetings (e.g., 2-1 in 2024 World Cup Qualifying, 3-1 in 2021 CHAN). Matches average 2.6 goals, with 60% over 2.5 goals and 60% both teams scoring (BTTS). Morocco have won their last three competitive home games against Zambia.

Predicted Score: Morocco 2-1 Zambia
Morocco’s Riahi and Souane face Zambia’s Kampamba and Ching’andu, with Morocco’s defensive strength tested by Zambia’s need for points. Morocco are favorites (+120 odds) over Zambia (+300), with a draw at +220. Trends (Morocco: 50% BTTS; Zambia: 40% over 2.5 goals) and H2H suggest goals, with betting tips favoring over 2.5 goals (+105). Cards may arise in the 25°C afternoon if Zambia’s desperation leads to fouls. The winner keeps quarter-final hopes alive; the loser faces likely elimination. Morocco is likely to score through Riahi, with Ching’andu possibly netting for Zambia. Morocco’s defensive edge and H2H dominance should secure a narrow win, but Zambia’s counter-attacks keep it close.
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