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13 Aug. England League Cup - Barnsley VS Fleetwood Town Prediction

13 Aug. England League Cup - Barnsley VS Fleetwood Town Prediction
England League Cup  -  Barnsley VS Fleetwood Town
Match Time:14-08-2025 02:45 Thursday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips

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Barnsley
Barnsley, coached by Darrell Clarke, enters the first round of the 2025-26 Carabao Cup after a 3-2 League One win over Burton Albion on August 9, 2025, with goals from Davis Keillor-Dunn, Adam Phillips, and an own goal. Their pre-season was strong, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in five friendlies, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 goal conceded. Key players include Keillor-Dunn (2 goals this season), Phillips (2 assists), and new signing Bright Osayi-Samuel, with a probable 3-5-2 lineup: Slonina; de Gevigney, McAtee, Roberts; Osayi-Samuel, Russell, Phillips, Connell, Earl; Keillor-Dunn, Watters. Barnsley’s strengths are their attacking form (15 goals in last 6 matches) and home support at Oakwell, where they had 19 wins and 4 draws in League One last season. However, injuries to Marc Roberts and Josh Earl (doubtful) are concerns. They aim to advance against League Two opposition, leveraging their higher-tier quality.

Fleetwood Town
Fleetwood Town, led by Charlie Adam, comes off a 2-1 League Two win over Bristol Rovers on August 9, 2025, with goals from Will Davies and Brendan Wiredu. Their pre-season included three wins, one draw, and two losses in six friendlies, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded. Key players include Davies (3 goals this season), Harrison Neal, and new signing Ben Woolston, with a probable 3-5-2 lineup: Harrington; Holgate, Bennett, Bonds; Johnston, Hunt, Mayor, Wiredu, Helm; Davies, Graydon. Fleetwood’s strengths are their early-season momentum (2 wins in 2 competitive games) and defensive solidity, but injuries to Charlie Evans (knee), Ryan Coughlin (Achilles), and doubts over David Harrington (goalkeeper) are issues. They aim to upset Barnsley, with Adam emphasizing an aggressive approach.

Head-to-Head
Barnsley and Fleetwood have met 12 times since 2014, with Barnsley winning 6, Fleetwood 2, and 4 draws. Recent League One clashes include a 2-2 draw at Barnsley (October 28, 2023) and a 2-1 Barnsley win at Fleetwood (February 17, 2024). Matches average 3.1 goals, with 83% over 2.5 goals and 67% both teams scoring (BTTS). Barnsley are unbeaten in their last six home games against Fleetwood (5 wins, 1 draw).

Predicted Score: Barnsley 3-1 Fleetwood Town
Barnsley’s Keillor-Dunn and Phillips face Fleetwood’s Davies and Graydon, with Barnsley’s home fortress and League One quality tested by Fleetwood’s attacking intent. Barnsley are favorites (-137 odds, 58% win probability) over Fleetwood (+350, 22%), with a draw at +275. Trends (Barnsley: 83% over 2.5 goals; Fleetwood: 67%) and H2H suggest a high-scoring game, with betting tips favoring over 2.5 goals (-143) and BTTS (-167). Cards are likely in the 18°C evening if Fleetwood’s physicality escalates, with less than 4.5 cards at 9/10 odds. The winner advances to the second round, likely facing a Championship or Premier League side. Barnsley is likely to score through Keillor-Dunn, with Davies possibly netting for Fleetwood. Barnsley’s home form, attacking momentum, and H2H dominance should secure a comfortable win, though Fleetwood’s early-season form keeps it competitive, aligning with X posts favoring Barnsley but noting their lack of clean sheets.
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