7th Aug. England League 1 - Port Vale VS Cardiff City Prediction

England League 1 - Port Vale VS Cardiff City
Match Time:08-08-2025 03:00 Friday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Port Vale
Port Vale, coached by Darren Moore, is back in League One after securing promotion from League Two with a 2nd-place finish in 2024-25 (22 wins, 14 draws, 10 losses). Their season opener was a 2-1 loss to Rotherham United on August 2, 2025, where they trailed by two goals and were reduced to 10 men after Jaheim Headley’s red card (35th minute) for a reckless challenge on Sam Nombe, with Connor Hall scoring a consolation goal. Their form includes one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five matches across all competitions, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.4 goals conceded. Key players include Hall, Lorent Tolaj, and Jordan Shipley, with a probable 4-2-3-1 lineup: Marosi; Clark, Debrah, Humphreys, Leake; Byers, Shipley; Tolaj, Stockley, Curtis; Waine. Port Vale’s strengths are their home record at Vale Park (lost only 3 of 24 home games last season) and squad reinforcements like Cameron Humphreys, but Headley’s suspension and injuries to Jordan Gabriel and Ben Garrity are concerns. They aim to secure their first points in front of a televised home crowd.
Cardiff City
Cardiff City, led by new manager Brian Barry-Murphy, started their League One campaign after relegation from the Championship with a 2-1 comeback win over Peterborough United on August 2, 2025. Rubin Colwill equalized with a free-kick, and Ronan Kpakio scored the winner. Their pre-season was unbeaten (one win, four draws), averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded. Key players include Colwill, Kpakio, and Nathan Trott (on loan from FC Copenhagen), with a probable 4-2-3-1 lineup: Trott; Kpakio, Fish, Chambers, Tanner; Siopis, Ralls; Colwill, Turnbull, O’Dowda; Thomas. Cardiff’s strengths are their attacking momentum (over 2.5 goals in 7 of last 8 games) and young squad, but injuries to Perry Ng and doubts over Alex Robertson are issues. They target a strong away performance to maintain their early-season form.
Head-to-Head
Cardiff have dominated recent meetings, winning 7 of the last 10 against Port Vale, including a 3-2 victory in the 2014 EFL Cup second round at Vale Park (Joe Ralls and Federico Macheda scoring). Port Vale’s last win over Cardiff was a 3-1 League victory in 1994. Matches average 2.8 goals, with 60% over 2.5 goals and 40% both teams scoring (BTTS). Cardiff have won their last three away games against Port Vale, scoring at least two goals each time.
Predicted Score: Port Vale 1-2 Cardiff City
This match on August 7, 2025, at Vale Park, Stoke-on-Trent, at 8:00 PM BST (3:00 PM EDT), is a sell-out, televised on Sky Sports Football and streamed on Sky Go and Sofascore. Port Vale’s Tolaj and Waine face Cardiff’s Colwill and Thomas, with Port Vale’s home advantage tested by Cardiff’s form and historical edge. Cardiff are favorites (-145 odds) over Port Vale (+310), with a draw at +250. Trends (Port Vale: 40% BTTS; Cardiff: 71% BTTS) and H2H suggest goals, with betting tips favoring over 2.5 goals (+105 odds). Referee Tom Reeves may issue cards in the 18°C evening if Port Vale’s physicality rises without Headley. Cardiff is likely to score through Colwill, with Tolaj possibly netting for Port Vale. Cardiff’s momentum and H2H dominance should secure a narrow away win, but Port Vale’s home form keeps it close.
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