5th Aug. Colombia Copa Cup - Cucuta VS Atletico Nacional Medellin Prediction

Colombia Copa Cup - Cucuta VS Atletico Nacional Medellin
Match Time:06-08-2025 05:00 Wednesday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Cúcuta Deportivo
Cúcuta Deportivo, coached by Federico Barrionuevo, is competing in the Colombian Primera B (Second Division) and enters the second leg of the Copa BetPlay First Round - Second Stage trailing 1-0 from the first leg against Atlético Nacional on July 29, 2025, at Estadio Atanasio Girardot, where Juan Manuel Zapata scored in the 6th minute, per. Their recent form includes two Primera B wins (2-0 vs. Patriotas and Inter Palmira, with goals from Henry Plazas and Jhonatan Agudelo), averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded over their last 10 matches, per. Key players include Agudelo, Plazas, and Mauricio Duarte, with a probable 4-2-3-1 lineup: Mosquera; Duarte, Pestaña, Cuenú, Angulo; Plazas, Pertúz; Agudelo, Valencia, Velásquez; Candelo. Cúcuta’s strengths are their defensive resilience and home support at Estadio General Santander (42,000 capacity, sold out), but their lackluster first-leg performance. and elimination in the 2024 Copa BetPlay’s second phase by Tigres (1-0) are concerns. They aim to overturn the deficit to advance.
Atlético Nacional Medellín
Atlético Nacional, led by Javier Gandolfi, is the defending Copa BetPlay champion, having won the 2024 title against América de Cali (3-1 in the first leg, second leg suspended due to fan unrest), per. They’re 4th in the 2025 Torneo Clausura with 4 points from 3 matches (1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss), averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 goal conceded. In the first leg, they dominated Cúcuta despite a controversial overturned penalty and Jorman Campuzano’s red card, per. Key players include Edwin Cardona, Facundo Batista, and Billy Arce, with a probable 4-2-3-1 lineup: Rojas; Salazar, Palacios, Mena, Angulo; Mejía, Torres; Arce, Cardona, Hurtado; Batista. Nacional’s strengths are their attacking quality (16 goals in 8 Copa BetPlay games last year) and experience, but Campuzano’s suspension and injuries to Alfredo Morelos and Pablo Ceppelini are issues. They seek to secure progression.
Head-to-Head
Atlético Nacional leads the H2H with 5 wins in their last 7 meetings against Cúcuta, who have 2 losses and no wins, per. The first leg on July 29, 2025, ended 1-0 to Nacional (Zapata’s header), with Nacional conceding 1.2 goals per game and scoring 2.0 in their last 5 H2H games, per. Matches average 2.0 goals, with 40% over 2.5 goals and 40% both teams scoring (BTTS). Cúcuta’s last home win over Nacional was in 2010.
Predicted Score: Cúcuta Deportivo 0-1 Atlético Nacional (1-2 aggregate)
This second-leg clash on August 5, 2025, at Estadio General Santander, Cúcuta, at 8:30 PM COT (9:30 PM EDT), is a sell-out, broadcast on Win Sports+ and streamed on Win Play and Sofascore, per. Cúcuta’s Agudelo and Plazas face Nacional’s Cardona and Batista, with Cúcuta’s home crowd pushing to overturn the 1-0 deficit against Nacional’s depleted squad (Campuzano suspended). Nacional are favorites (-150 odds) over Cúcuta (+280), with a draw at +230, per. Trends (Nacional: 40% over 2.5 goals; Cúcuta: 60% in Primera B) suggest a tight game, with betting tips favoring under 2.5 goals (1.80 odds) and BTTS No, per. Referee Edwin Trujillo’s controversial first-leg decisions may lead to cards in the 22°C evening. Nacional is likely to score through Batista, with Cúcuta struggling to break their defense, per. Nacional’s quality and first-leg lead should secure a narrow away win, advancing them to face Deportivo Pereira or Jaguares de Córdoba.
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