1st Aug. Argentina Cup - Belgrano VS Independiente Prediction

Argentina Cup - Belgrano VS Independiente
Match Time:02-08-2025 05:15 Saturday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Belgrano
Belgrano, coached by Ricardo Zielinski, is 6th in the 2025 Torneo Clausura (Argentine Primera División) with 4 points from 3 matches (1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss). They drew 0-0 with Independiente Rivadavia on July 25, 2025, after a 1-0 loss to Racing and a 3-0 win over Huracán, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 0.3 goals conceded. In the Copa Argentina, they beat Real Pilar 3-1 and Defensores de Belgrano 3-2 to reach the Round of 16, per. Key players include Lucas Zelarayán, Franco Jara (2 goals in Copa Argentina), and Santiago Longo, with a probable 4-2-3-1 lineup: Cardozo; Compagnucci, Morales, López, Troilo; Longo, González Metilli; Mavilla, Zelarayán, Ricca; Jara. Belgrano’s strengths are their defensive solidity and home support at Estadio Gigante de Arroyito (neutral venue), but suspensions to Nicolás Fernández (1 match) and Lucas Passerini (2 matches), plus Jara’s doubtful status (muscle injury), weaken their attack, per. They aim to upset Independiente to reach the quarter-finals.
Independiente
Independiente, led by Julio Vaccari, is struggling in the Torneo Clausura, earning 1 point from 3 matches (1 draw, 2 losses), including a 1-0 loss to Gimnasia on July 27, 2025, per. In the Copa Argentina, they defeated Sportivo Belgrano 2-0 and Gimnasia Mendoza 2-1, per, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.5 goals conceded. Key players include Federico Mancuello, Ignacio Pussetto, and Rodrigo Rey, with a probable 4-3-3 lineup: Rey; Godoy, Lomónaco, Freire, Zabala; Loyola, Fernández Cedrés, Galdames; Mazzanti, Pussetto, Montiel. Independiente’s strengths are their attacking options, with Pablo Galdames and Pussetto likely starting over Iván Marcone and Gabriel Ávalos, per. However, their poor league form and lack of a Copa Argentina title are concerns. They seek a first win of the semester to advance against Atlético Tucumán or Newell’s in the quarter-finals.
Head-to-Head
Belgrano and Independiente have met 35 times, with Independiente leading 17-7, and 11 draws. In the Copa Argentina, they’ve played twice, splitting wins (1-1). Their last meeting was a 1-1 draw in the Torneo Clausura on April 20, 2025, per. Matches average 2.0 goals, with 40% over 2.5 goals and 50% both teams scoring (BTTS), per. Belgrano’s home-like support in Rosario may challenge Independiente’s historical edge.
Predicted Score: Belgrano 1-1 Independiente (Independiente advances on penalties)
This Round of 16 clash on August 1, 2025, at Estadio Gigante de Arroyito, Rosario, at 6:15 PM ART (5:15 PM EDT), is a sold-out match refereed by Fernando Echenique, per. Belgrano’s Zelarayán faces Independiente’s Pussetto, with Belgrano’s defensive solidity tested by Independiente’s rotated attack. Independiente are slight favorites (-130 odds) over Belgrano (+260), with a draw at +230. Trends (Belgrano: 60% over 2.5 goals in Copa Argentina; Independiente: 50%) and H2H suggest a tight game. The 18°C evening may see cards if Belgrano’s injuries force aggressive play, Independiente may score through Pussetto, with Zelarayán likely netting for Belgrano. Belgrano’s injuries and Independiente’s depth point to a draw, with Independiente’s experience edging a penalty shootout
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