31st July Portugal Super Cup - Sporting CP VS Benfica Prediction
Portugal Super Cup - Sporting CP VS Benfica
Match Time:01-08-2025 03:45 Friday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Sporting CP
Sporting CP, coached by Rui Borges, enters the 2025 Super Cup as Primeira Liga champions, having secured the 2024-25 title. They also won the Taça de Portugal, defeating Benfica 3-1 in extra time on May 25, 2025, with goals from Viktor Gyökeres (90’+10 penalty), Conrad Harder (99’), and Francisco Trincão (120’+1). Their pre-season form includes 4 matches with no wins reported, averaging under 1.0 goal scored, per news.22bet.com. Key players include Francisco Trincão, Pedro Gonçalves, and Hidemasa Morita, with a probable 3-4-3 lineup: Rui Silva; Debast, Diomande, Gonçalo Inácio; Catamo, Hjulmand, Morita, Araújo; Quenda, Trincão, Gonçalves. Sporting’s strengths are their tactical flexibility and midfield energy, but the departure of Gyökeres to Arsenal and injuries to Daniel Bragança (ACL), João Simões (metatarsal), and Nuno Santos (knee) weaken their attack. They aim to claim the Super Cup at Estádio do Algarve.
SL Benfica
Benfica, led by Bruno Lage, is the 2024-25 Taça de Portugal runner-up and finished 2nd in the Primeira Liga. They lost to Sporting in the Taça final but beat Bayern Munich in the FIFA Club World Cup, with a 3-2 friendly win over Fenerbahçe on July 26, 2025. Their form includes 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last five, averaging 2.6 goals scored and 1.6 goals conceded, per m.aiscore.com. Key players include Orkun Kökçü (scored in Taça final), Evangelos Pavlidis, and new signing Richard Ríos (€27M from Palmeiras), with a probable 4-3-3 lineup: Trubin; Dedić, António Silva, Otamendi, Dahl; Florentino Luís, Ríos, Barrenechea; Schjelderup, Pavlidis, Aktürkoğlu. Benfica’s strengths are their attacking output (2.8 goals per game in last 18 matches), but injuries to Alexander Bah and Manu Silva (both ACL) and the loss of Álvaro Carreras and Ángel Di María hurt depth.
Head-to-Head
Sporting CP and Benfica have played 69 matches since 2004, with Benfica winning 28, Sporting 21, and 20 draws, per fctables.com. Their latest clash was the Taça de Portugal final (3-1 Sporting). Matches average 2.7 goals, with 60% over 2.5 goals and 80% both teams scoring (BTTS) in the last 5 meetings, per mightytips.com. Sporting’s recent edge (3 wins in last 5) contrasts with Benfica’s historical dominance (18 wins vs. Sporting’s 13 since 2010).
Predicted Score: Sporting CP 2-2 SL Benfica (Sporting wins on penalties)
This Super Cup final on July 31, 2025, at Estádio do Algarve, Faro, at 7:45 PM UTC (8:45 PM WEST), is a sold-out rivalry clash, per SportingCP and SLBenfica posts. Sporting’s Trincão and Gonçalves face Benfica’s Pavlidis and Kökçü, with Sporting’s home-like advantage (neutral venue) tested by Benfica’s attacking form. Sporting are slight favorites (-120 odds) over Benfica (+260), with a draw at +230, per Sofascore.com. Trends (Benfica: 60% over 2.5 goals; Sporting: 40%) and H2H (9 of last 14 with 3+ goals) suggest a high-scoring game, per mightytips.com. The 22°C evening may see cards if the rivalry intensifies. Sporting may score through Trincão, with Pavlidis likely netting for Benfica. Both teams’ attacking intent and depleted squads point to a draw, with Sporting’s penalty shootout experience (Taça final) giving them the edge.
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