29th July AFF U23 Championship - Vietnam U23 VS Indonesia U23 Prediction
AFF U23 Championship - Vietnam U23 VS Indonesia U23
Match Time:29-07-2025 21:00 Tuesday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Vietnam U23
Vietnam U23, coached by Kim Sang-sik, is the two-time defending champion of the AFF U-23 Championship, having won in 2022 and 2023. They reached the 2025 final after a 2-1 comeback win over Philippines U23 in the semi-final on July 25, 2025, with goals in the second half overturning a 1-0 deficit. Their tournament form includes 3 wins (3-0 vs. Laos, 2-0 vs. Cambodia, 2-1 vs. Philippines), averaging 2.3 goals scored and 0.3 goals conceded. Key players include Nguyễn Đình Bắc (striker) and Nguyễn Ngọc Thắng (midfielder). Vietnam’s strengths are their possession-based play (averaging 60% possession) and defensive solidity, with two clean sheets in three matches. However, their reliance on late goals could be a vulnerability if Indonesia scores early. They aim for a third consecutive title at Gelora Bung Karno.
Indonesia U23
Indonesia U23, led by Shin Tae-yong, reached the final after a dramatic 1-1 draw and 7-6 penalty shootout win over Thailand U23 on July 25, 2025, with 71% possession and 3 shots on target, per posts found on X. Their tournament form shows 2 wins (1-0 vs. Philippines, 3-0 vs. Brunei) and 1 draw, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 0.3 goals conceded. Key players include Ramadhan Sananta (forward) and Rizky Ridho (defender). Indonesia’s strengths are their high pressing and ability to exploit defensive gaps, as noted by Vietnam’s coach Kim Sang-sik, who highlighted their strength in playing balls behind defenses. Their lack of clinical finishing (3 shots on target vs. Thailand) is a concern. They seek their first AFF U-23 title.
Head-to-Head
Vietnam U23 and Indonesia U23 have met 7 times since 2007, with Vietnam winning 5, Indonesia 1, and 1 draw. Vietnam won the 2023 AFF U-23 final 6-5 on penalties after a 0-0 draw, per web sources. Their last 5 matches average 2.1 goals, with 40% over 2.5 goals and 50% both teams scoring (BTTS), per web sources. Vietnam’s possession control has historically frustrated Indonesia, but Indonesia’s 2-0 win in the 2019 SEA Games shows their potential to upset.
Predicted Score: Vietnam U23 1-0 Indonesia U23
The AFF U-23 Championship final on July 29, 2025, at Gelora Bung Karno, Jakarta, at 8:00 PM WIB (9:00 AM EDT), is a high-stakes clash, per web sources. Vietnam’s Nguyễn Đình Bắc faces Indonesia’s Sananta, with Vietnam’s possession (60% average) testing Indonesia’s press (71% possession vs. Thailand). Indonesia, as hosts, have fan support, but Vietnam’s experience gives them a slight edge (-120 odds) over Indonesia (+260), with a draw at +230, per web sources. Trends (Vietnam: 40% over 2.5 goals; Indonesia: 33%) and H2H suggest a low-scoring game. Referee TBD may issue cards in the 28°C evening if Indonesia’s intensity rises. Vietnam is likely to score through Nguyễn Đình Bắc, with their defensive solidity stifling Indonesia’s attack. Vietnam’s tournament experience and H2H dominance should secure a narrow win, though Indonesia’s home crowd keeps it tight.
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