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24th July Brazil Serie A - Vasco da Gama VS Bahia Prediction

24th July Brazil Serie A - Vasco da Gama VS Bahia Prediction
Brazil Serie A  -  Vasco da Gama VS Bahia
Match Time:05-08-2025 04:00 Tuesday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips

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Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama, coached by Rafael Paiva, is 11th in the 2025 Serie A with 16 points from 15 matches (4 wins, 4 draws, 7 losses). They lost 2-0 to Fluminense on July 20, 2025, extending a winless streak, per web sources. Their form shows 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last five, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.6 goals conceded. Key players include Lucas Piton (versatile defender) and Hugo Moura, but injuries to Adson, David, Guilherme Estrela, and doubts over André Luís and Max weaken their squad, per web sources. Vasco’s strengths are their home fight at Estádio São Januário and counter-attacks, but their inconsistent attack (0.8 goals per home game) is a concern. They aim to climb into the top half for a Copa Sudamericana spot.

Bahia
Bahia, led by Rogério Ceni, is 6th with 21 points from 15 matches (6 wins, 3 draws, 6 losses). They won 2-1 against Atlético Mineiro on July 13, 2025, with a stoppage-time goal, showing resilience. Their form includes 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last five, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded. Key players include Cauly (playmaker), Santiago Arias, and Caio Alexandre (both back from suspension), per web sources. Bahia’s strengths are their attacking flair and ability to score late, but their away form (2 wins in 7) is shaky, per web sources. They target a top-six finish for Copa Libertadores qualification.

Head-to-Head
Vasco and Bahia have met 45 times, with Vasco leading 18-14, and 13 draws. Vasco won their last meeting 3-2 on October 28, 2024, at São Januário, with goals from Hugo Moura and others, per web sources. Matches average 2.6 goals, with 40% over 2.5 goals and 60% both teams scoring (BTTS), per web sources. Vasco are unbeaten in their last 3 home games against Bahia (2 wins, 1 draw), giving them an edge.

Predicted Score: Vasco da Gama 1-2 Bahia
This Matchweek 16 clash on July 24, 2025, at Estádio São Januário, Rio de Janeiro, at 8:30 PM BRT (7:30 PM EDT), is pivotal for both teams’ ambitions, per web sources. Vasco’s Piton and Moura face Bahia’s Cauly and Arias, with Vasco’s home crowd testing Bahia’s inconsistent away form. Bahia are slight favorites (-105 odds) due to their better form, with Vasco at +260 and a draw at +230, per web sources. Trends (Vasco: 40% over 2.5 goals; Bahia: 60%) and H2H suggest goals, per web sources. Referee TBD may issue cards in the 22°C evening if Vasco’s physicality rises. Bahia is likely to score through Cauly, with Moura possibly netting for Vasco. Bahia’s attacking form and returning players should secure a narrow win, though Vasco’s home resilience keeps it close
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