July 23rd Copa Sudamericana - Palestino VS Bolivar Prediction
Copa Sudamericana - Palestino VS Bolivar
Match Time:24-07-2025 06:00 Thursday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Palestino
Palestino, coached by Lucas Bovaglio, is fourth in the Chilean Primera División, trailing the leader by four points. They drew 2-2 against Huachipato on June 21, 2025, showing resilience on the road. Their form includes 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last five competitive matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded. Key players include Junior Marabel (4 goals in the 2025 Copa Sudamericana), Bryan Carrasco, and Jonathan Benítez. Palestino’s strengths are their compact midfield and Marabel’s finishing, but their away defense (1.75 goals conceded per game in the group stage) struggled in their 3-0 first-leg loss to Bolívar on July 16, 2025, at Estadio Hernando Siles, La Paz, with goals from Robson Matheus (58’), Martín Cauteruccio (90’+10 pen), and Tonino Melgar (90’+13). They aim to overturn the deficit at home to reach the round of 16 against Cienciano.
Bolívar
Bolívar, led by Flavio Robatto, is fourth in the Bolivian Primera División after a 4-0 win over Independiente Petrolero on July 7, 2025. Their form shows 3 wins and 2 losses in their last five, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 goal conceded. Key players include Cauteruccio, Matheus, and goalkeeper Carlos Lampe, who was pivotal in their first-leg clean sheet. Bolívar’s strengths are their high-altitude advantage at home (3,600m in La Paz) and attacking output (71.3% possession, 19 shots in the first leg), but their away form is less consistent, with only one clean sheet in seven away games. They seek to defend their 3-0 lead and advance, building on their 3-1 win over Palestino in the 2024 Copa Libertadores group stage.
Head-to-Head
Palestino and Bolívar have met twice recently. Bolívar won 3-0 in the first leg on July 16, 2025, dominating with 13 corners to Palestino’s 1, per web sources. They also won 3-1 in the 2024 Copa Libertadores group stage on May 28, 2024, at home. Matches average 3.5 goals, with 100% over 2.5 goals and 50% both teams scoring (BTTS), indicating high-scoring encounters driven by Bolívar’s attack.
Predicted Score: Palestino 2-1 Bolívar (Bolívar advances 4-2 on aggregate)
This second leg on July 23, 2025, at Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos, Santiago, at 10:00 PM CLT (9:00 PM EDT), is Palestino’s chance to overturn a 3-0 deficit, per web sources. Palestino’s Marabel and Carrasco face Bolívar’s Cauteruccio and Matheus, with Palestino’s home form (2-2-0 in last 4) testing Bolívar’s weaker away defense. Bolívar are favorites (-110 odds) to advance, with Palestino at +250 to win the match, per web sources. Trends (Palestino: 60% over 2.5 goals at home; Bolívar: 71% over 2.5 away) and H2H suggest goals. Referee Flavio de Souza may issue cards in the 15°C evening if Palestino’s urgency leads to fouls. Palestino is likely to score through Marabel, with Cauteruccio possibly netting for Bolívar. Palestino’s home crowd and attacking intent should secure a narrow win, but Bolívar’s first-leg lead and defensive resilience should see them through to face Cienciano.
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