July 15th Copa Sudamericana - Bahia VS America de Cali Prediction
Copa Sudamericana - Bahia VS America de Cali
Match Time:16-07-2025 08:30 Wednesday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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The Copa Sudamericana 2025 playoff first leg between Bahia and América de Cali is set for July 15, 2025, at 21:30 local time (20:30 UTC) at Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Brazil. This knockout round playoff (Key 5) pits Bahia, third in their Copa Libertadores group, against América de Cali, second in their Sudamericana group, with the winner advancing to face Fluminense in the round of 16. The return leg is scheduled for July 22, 2025, in Cali, Colombia
Bahia Review
Bahia, coached by Rogério Ceni, finished third in Copa Libertadores Group F (7 points, 2W-1D-3L), behind Internacional (11) and Atlético Nacional (9), earning a Sudamericana playoff spot. Their 4-2-3-1 formation features Willian José (3 goals in last 5 games, including a double vs São Paulo), Michel Araujo (match-winner vs Botafogo), and Éverton Ribeiro. Bahia’s home form is formidable, with five consecutive Brasileirão wins (2-1 vs Atlético Mineiro, July 2025), averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game. They’ve won 9 of their last 10 home matches across competitions. Injuries to goalkeeper Ronaldo and defender Arias persist, but no new absences are reported. Probable XI: Marcos Felipe; Gilberto, David Duarte, Santiago Ramos Mingo, Luciano Juba; Caio Alexandre, Éverton Ribeiro, Jean Lucas; Ademir, Willian José, Erick Pulga. Recent form: WWWWL
América de Cali Review
América de Cali, under new coach Gabriel Raimondi following Polilla Da Silva’s departure, finished second in Sudamericana Group C (8 points, 1W-5D-0L), behind Huracán, edging out Corinthians on goal difference. Their 4-2-3-1 formation relies on Rodrigo Holgado (top candidate to score, 3.43 odds), Luis Ramos (2 league goals), and Dylan Borrero. América’s away form is resilient, unbeaten in their last 9 away matches (1W-8D), averaging 1.1 goals scored and 0.7 conceded. However, they’ve won only 1 of their last 5 games (0-0 vs Llaneros, July 2025), and injuries to Éder Álvarez (hip) and Rafael Carrascal (suspended) weaken their midfield. Probable XI: Jorge Soto; Yerson Candelo, Daniel Bocanegra, Andrés Mosquera, Esneyder Mena; Franco Leys, Sebastián Navarro; Cristian Barrios, Josen Escobar, Dylan Borrero; Rodrigo Holgado. Recent form: DWDLD
Head to Head
This is the first competitive meeting between Bahia and América de Cali in CONMEBOL tournaments, with no prior H2H data. Both teams show BTTS trends (Bahia: 5/7 games; América: 7/8 games), suggesting a potential for goals. Bahia’s home games average 2.7 goals, while América’s away games average 1.8, with 60% under 2.5 goals for América
Prediction: Bahia 2-1 América de Cali
Bahia’s home dominance (9/10 wins) and attacking form (Willian José, Araujo) give them an edge, but América’s unbeaten away streak (9 games) and defensive solidity (0.7 goals conceded) suggest they can keep it close. The absence of América’s key midfielders (Álvarez, Carrascal) and stars like Juanfer Quintero and Duván Vergara limits their attack, while Bahia’s injury-hit defense may offer chances. Both teams’ BTTS trends (Bahia 71%, América 87%) and Bahia’s home scoring (1.8 goals) point to a game with goals, but América’s low-scoring away trend (60% under 2.5) tempers expectations. Bahia should capitalize on home advantage, but América’s resilience may prevent a rout.
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