July 15th FF U23 Championship - Malaysia U23 VS Philippines U23 Prediction
AFF U23 Championship - Malaysia U23 VS Philippines U23
Match Time:15-07-2025 18:00 Tuesday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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The ASEAN U-23 Championship 2025 (Mandiri Cup) Group A Matchday 1 clash between Malaysia U23 and Philippines U23 is scheduled for July 15, 2025, at 18:00 local time (17:00 UTC) at Gelora Bung Karno Stadium, Jakarta, Indonesia. This opening match in the nine-team tournament, hosted by Indonesia, pits Malaysia U23, aiming to challenge regional heavyweights, against Philippines U23, a developing side seeking to make an impact in Southeast Asian youth football.
Malaysia U23 Review
Malaysia U23, coached by Juan Torres Garrido, enter the tournament after a mixed 2024, losing 2-1 to Kuwait U23 in the AFC U-23 Asian Cup (April 23, 2024). Their 4-2-3-1 formation features Nik Akif Syahiran Nik Mat (midfield, 24 years old) and Saravanan Thirumurugan, with a squad primarily drawn from the Malaysia Super League. Malaysia’s recent form includes a 4-1 loss to Vietnam U23 in the 2023 AFF U-23 Championship semifinals (August 24, 2023), but they secured a 3-1 win over Laos U23 earlier in that tournament. In their last five matches, Malaysia U23 have won 0, drawn 1, and lost 4, averaging 0.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match, with a 25% Asian Handicap win rate and 25% over 2.5 goals. No major injuries are reported. Recent form: LLLLD.
Philippines U23 Review
Philippines U23, under coach Norman Fegidero, are ranked 2nd in Group A based on early tournament projections, despite a challenging 2023 AFF U-23 Championship (2-2 draw vs Laos U23, 1-0 loss to Vietnam U23). Their 4-3-3 formation relies on young talents like Jarod Lawler and Andres Aldeguer, with a squad drawn from domestic and collegiate leagues. In their last five matches, Philippines U23 have won 1, drawn 1, and lost 3, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per match, with a 60% Asian Handicap win rate and 60% over 2.5 goals. A 4-0 loss to Indonesia U23 (May 13, 2022, SEA Games) highlights defensive vulnerabilities. No injuries reported, but the team lacks experience against top ASEAN sides. Recent form: LDWLL.
Head to Head
Malaysia U23 and Philippines U23 have met once since 2019, in the AFC U-23 Championship Qualification on September 9, 2023, where Malaysia won 3-0. Average goals per match: 3.0, with 0% both teams to score (BTTS) and 0% over 2.5 goals due to the single low-sample match. Malaysia’s Asian Handicap win rate in H2H is 25%, with Philippines at 100% (reflecting betting odds). Malaysia’s 3-0 victory showcased their dominance, with Philippines failing to create clear chances.
Prediction: Malaysia U23 2-0 Philippines U23
Malaysia U23’s superior H2H record (3-0 in 2023) and experience in ASEAN tournaments give them an edge over Philippines U23, who struggle defensively (2.2 goals conceded per game). Malaysia’s low scoring (0.4 goals per game) and Philippines’ poor attack (0.6 goals) suggest a low-scoring affair, aligning with their H2H trend (0% over 2.5 goals). Malaysia’s 4-2-3-1 should control possession against Philippines’ 4-3-3, but the latter’s counterattacks (Lawler, Aldeguer) could test Malaysia’s backline. Bookmakers favor Malaysia (odds ~1.80, 55% win probability), with under 2.5 goals at 1.75 and no BTTS at 1.85. Malaysia’s discipline and home crowd pressure at Gelora Bung Karno (neutral venue) should secure a narrow win.
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