July 10th UEFA Conference League - NSI Runavik VS HJK Helsinki Prediciton
UEFA Conference League - NSI Runavik VS HJK Helsinki
Match Time:11-07-2025 02:45 Friday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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NSÍ Runavík Review
NSÍ Runavík, fourth in the 2024 Faroe Islands Premier League, qualified for the 2025-26 UEFA Conference League first qualifying round, marking their return to European football after a four-year absence. Coached by Jens Wedeborg, their 4-4-2 formation emphasizes aggressive, attacking play, with Steffan Løkin (3 goals in 2025) and Jógvan Højgaard leading the line. Runavík are in strong form, winning their last two league matches 4-0 against Streymur and 6-2 against TB Tvøroyri on July 5, 2025, averaging 2.8 goals per match across their last five (W3-D1-L1). Their home record at Við Djúpumýrar is solid (5W-1D-2L), with 2+ goals in four of their last five home games. However, their European experience is limited, with a 1-7 aggregate loss to Honka in 2020-21 qualifiers. No injuries or suspensions reported. Recent form: WWDWL.mightytips.com
HJK Helsinki Review
HJK Helsinki, runners-up in the 2024 Finnish Veikkausliiga, aim for a third consecutive UEFA Conference League group stage appearance. Coached by Miika Nuutinen, their 4-3-3 formation features Topi Keskinen and Anthony Olusanya (combined 4 goals), with Santeri Hostikka’s wing play (2 assists). HJK have won three of their last five matches (W3-D0-L2), including a 2-0 victory over VPS on July 5, 2025, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. Their away form is inconsistent (3W-1D-3L), and they’ve conceded in four of their last five away games. Injuries rule out Daniel O’Shaughnessy and David Ezeh, with Hostikka and Aaro Halme doubtful. Despite this, HJK’s European pedigree (12.5 UEFA coefficient) gives them an edge. Recent form: WWLWL.mightytips.com
Head to Head
No prior competitive meetings exist between NSÍ Runavík and HJK Helsinki, making this first leg on July 10, 2025, at Við Djúpumýrar a fresh encounter. HJK’s 1-0 win over Northern Irish side Larne FC in 2023-24 qualifiers offers some context, while Runavík’s heavy defeats in past European ties (e.g., 0-5 vs Dundalk, 2010) highlight their underdog status. Expected goals per match: ~2.7, with a 57% chance of both teams scoring, given Runavík’s 8/9 games with both teams scoring and HJK’s 5/6 with 2+ goals.mightytips.comaiscore.com
Prediction: NSÍ Runavík 1-2 HJK Helsink
The UEFA Conference League first qualifying round first leg on July 10, 2025, at 20:45 CET favors HJK Helsinki. Runavík’s recent scoring form (10 goals in 2 games) and home support make them a threat, with Løkin likely to test HJK’s depleted defense. However, HJK’s experience (30 European campaigns) and attacking depth (Keskinen, Olusanya) should exploit Runavík’s defensive frailties, exposed in past European losses. Bookmakers give HJK a 61% win probability (odds ~1.55), with both teams to score at 1.80, supported by Runavík’s attacking approach and HJK’s away concessions.
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