July 10th UEFA Europa League - Spartak Trnava VS Hacken Prediction

UEFA Europa League - Spartak Trnava VS Hacken
Match Time:11-07-2025 02:15 Friday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Spartak Trnava Preview
Spartak Trnava, the 2024-25 Slovak Cup winners and third in the Slovak First League, enter the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League first qualifying round under new coach Michal Ščasný, appointed in June 2025. Their 3-4-2-1 formation features Erik Daniel (2 goals in pre-season) and new signings like Uchechukwu Izuagwu, Marek Švec, and Milan Kvocera (4 goals in 2024-25). Trnava’s pre-season form is shaky (W2-D0-L3), with losses to Petrolul Ploiești (0-1), Borac Banja Luka (0-1), and Karviná (1-3), averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match. Their home record at Štadión Antona Malatinského is strong, unbeaten in their last three Europa League qualifiers (W2-D1-L0, 6 goals scored), but they’ve won only two of their last eight competitive home games. No major injuries reported. Recent form: LLLWD.
BK Häcken Preview
BK Häcken, the 2024-25 Svenska Cupen winners, sit ninth in the Allsvenskan with 18 points from 14 matches. Coached by Jens Gustafsson, their 4-3-3 formation relies on John Dembe (2 goals in last start) and Simon Gustafson, with Mikkel Rygaard adding creativity (2 assists). Häcken’s recent form is mixed (W1-D2-L2), with a 2-0 away win over Elfsborg on July 6, 2025, but losses to Heidenheim (3-2, 2-1) in 2024-25 Conference League qualifiers. They average 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, with a 48% long-term win rate in 2025. Away form is inconsistent (3W-1D-3L in Allsvenskan), and injuries to key players (unspecified doubts per footboom.com) are a concern. Recent form: WLDDL.
Head to Head
No prior competitive meetings exist between Spartak Trnava and Häcken, making this first leg on July 10, 2025, at Štadión Antona Malatinského a fresh encounter. Trnava have a 100% record against Swedish teams in the Intertoto Cup (6W-0D-0L), though these were non-competitive. Häcken’s higher shot volume (893 passes completed recently vs Trnava’s incomplete data) and corner count suggest sustained pressure. Expected goals per match: ~2.3, with a 57% chance of both teams scoring and 43% for under 2.5 goals.
Prediction: Spartak Trnava 1-1 BK Häcken
The UEFA Europa League first qualifying round first leg on July 10, 2025, at 19:15 UTC is a tactical contest. Trnava’s home advantage (unbeaten in 3 Europa League qualifiers) and new signings give them hope, but their pre-season struggles (3 losses in 5) and low scoring (0.8 goals per game) raise concerns. Häcken’s in-season rhythm, Dembe’s form, and 67% win rate over the last month make them slight favorites (41% win probability, odds ~2.20), despite away inconsistencies and injuries. Bookmakers lean toward Häcken Draw No Bet (odds 1.85), with under 2.5 goals favored (73% of Häcken’s last 11 games). Daniel or Kvocera to score for Trnava, Dembe for Häcken.
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