July 8th UEFA Champions League - Levadia Tallinn VS FK Rigas Futbola skola Prediction
UEFA Champions League - Levadia Tallinn VS FK Rigas Futbola skola
Match Time:09-07-2025 00:30 Wednesday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Levadia Tallinn Review
Levadia Tallinn, the 2024 Estonian Meistriliiga champions, enter the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League first qualifying round as defending champions, leading the 2025 league by six points (29 points from 15 matches). Coached by Curro Torres, their 4-3-3 formation relies on Brent Lepistu’s midfield control (recently back from injury) and attackers Frank Liivak (3 goals) and Michael Schjønning-Larsen. Levadia are unbeaten in their last six matches (W6-D0-L0), including a 3-0 win over Paide Linnameeskond on July 4, 2025, averaging 2.4 goals per match. Their home form at A. Le Coq Arena is strong (7W-1D-0L in 2025), but their European record is modest, with only three first-round qualifying advances in Champions League history and a 1-6 loss to Víkingur Reykjavík in 2024-25 qualifiers. No major injuries reported. Recent form: WWWWWW.
FK Rigas Futbola Skola (RFS) Review
RFS, the 2024 Latvian Higher League champions, are coming off a historic 2024-25 Europa League campaign, where they became the first Latvian club to win a match in a major UEFA competition (1-0 vs Ajax). Coached by Viktors Morozs, their 4-2-3-1 formation features Darko Lemajić (16 goals in 2025) and playmakers Jānis Ikaunieks and Petr Mares (9 assists). RFS have won four of their last five (W4-D0-L1), including a 2-1 victory over FK Liepāja on July 4, 2025, averaging 2.2 goals per match. Their away form is solid (5W-2D-1L), but a 1-3 loss to Bodø/Glimt in 2024-25 qualifiers exposed defensive issues (1.0 goals conceded per match). Herdi Prenga’s knee injury is a concern, but Robert Savalnieks is back. Recent form: WWLDW.
Head to Head
No prior competitive meetings exist between Levadia Tallinn and RFS, making this first leg on July 8, 2025, at A. Le Coq Arena a Baltic derby with no historical precedent. Both teams’ recent matches suggest high-scoring affairs (Levadia: 3.2 goals per home game, RFS: 7/10 matches over 2.5 goals). Expected goals per match: ~3.0, with a 55% chance of both teams scoring (odds 1.80).
Prediction: Levadia Tallinn 1-2 RFS
The UEFA Champions League first qualifying round first leg on July 8, 2025, at 18:30 CET is a clash of Baltic giants. Levadia’s home dominance (7W in 8) and six-game win streak give them confidence, with Liivak and Lepistu likely to exploit RFS’s defensive gaps. RFS’s European experience (1-0 vs Ajax) and Lemajić’s scoring form (4 goals in 4) make them slight favorites (52% win probability, odds 1.95). Bookmakers predict over 2.5 goals (78% probability, odds 1.29), supported by Levadia’s high-scoring home games and RFS’s attacking output. X posts favor RFS for their European pedigree but note Levadia’s home strength, with a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline (11% probability). Expect a tight, high-scoring game, with RFS’s experience edging out. Lemajić to score, Liivak a threat for Levadia.
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