July 8th UEFA Conference League - Floriana F.C. VS Haverfordwest County Prediciton
UEFA Conference League - Floriana F.C. VS Haverfordwest County
Match Time:09-07-2025 01:30 Wednesday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Floriana F.C. Review
Floriana FC, Malta’s 26-time Premier League champions, enter the 2025-26 UEFA Conference League first qualifying round with a mixed 2024-25 season, finishing third in the Maltese Premier League (51 points). Coached by John Buttigieg, their 4-2-3-1 formation features new signings Charles M’Mombwa (from Newcastle Jets) and Mustapha Jah (from CFR Cluj), alongside playmaker Gabriel Gamarra (3 goals, 2 assists). Floriana average 1.4 goals per match but have been inconsistent, with a 1-2 loss to Birkirkara and a 4-0 win over Sliema Wanderers in their last five (W2-D2-L1). Defensive lapses (1.0 goals conceded per match) and frequent fouling (12.5 fouls per game) are concerns, though their home form at Centenary Stadium is strong (6W in 8). No major injuries reported. Recent form: WDLWD.
Haverfordwest County Review
Haverfordwest County AFC, third in the 2024-25 Cymru Premier (51 points), are in their second Conference League campaign in three years. Coached by Tony Pennock, their 4-2-3-1 formation relies on Kyle McCarthy’s box-to-box energy (2 goals) and forwards Ben Ahmun and Dan Hawkins (combined 5 goals). Their 8-0 thrashing of Ynysygerwyn FC in a friendly highlights attacking potential, but a 1-1 draw with Carmarthen Town shows inconsistency (W3-D1-L1). They average 2.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, with strong set-piece efficiency (3 set-piece goals in 5). Their European away record is poor (0W in 4), but a 2023-24 win over Shkëndija (on penalties) boosts confidence. Luke Tabone’s departure and no major injuries reported. Recent form: WWWDW.
Head to Head
No prior competitive meetings exist between Floriana and Haverfordwest, making this first leg on July 8, 2025, at Centenary Stadium, Marsa, Malta, a fresh encounter. Floriana’s 1-0 aggregate loss to Haverfordwest in the 2022-23 Conference League first round (to a different Welsh side, per incorrect records) is irrelevant, as no direct H2H exists. Expected goals per match: ~2.3, with a 50.51% chance of over 2.5 goals and 49.49% under 2.5, per predictive models. Haverfordwest’s set-piece strength could exploit Floriana’s foul-prone defense.
Prediction: Floriana FC 1-1 Haverfordwest County.
The UEFA Conference League first qualifying round first leg on July 8, 2025, at 17:30 UTC is a tight affair. Floriana’s home advantage (6W in 8) and European experience (32 campaigns) give them a slight edge, but Haverfordwest’s momentum (3W in 5), high pressing, and set-piece threat make them dangerous. Floriana’s defensive issues (conceded in 3 of 5) could be exposed by Hawkins or Ahmun, while M’Mombwa’s creativity tests Haverfordwest’s backline (1 clean sheet in 5). Bookmakers favor Floriana (odds ~1.65), but a draw has value (18.18% probability, 1-1 most common at 15.15%). Pennock’s focus on keeping the tie alive for the second leg at Parc y Scarlets suggests a cautious approach. Gamarra or M’Mombwa likely to score for Floriana, McCarthy or Hawkins for Haverfordwest.
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