July 8th UEFA Champions League - KuPs VS FC Milsami Prediction
UEFA Champions League - KuPs VS FC Milsami
Match Time:08-07-2025 23:00 Tuesday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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KuPS Review
KuPS, the 2024 Veikkausliiga champions, return to UEFA Champions League qualifying for the first time since 2020-21, leading the 2025 Finnish top flight with 29 points from 15 matches. Coached by Jarkko Wiss, their 4-4-2 formation emphasizes quick transitions, with Joslyn Luyeye-Lutumba (5 goals) and Agon Sadiku (3 goals) leading the attack. KuPS are unbeaten in their last four matches (W3-D1-L0), including a 2-2 draw against AC Oulu on July 4, 2025, and a penalty shootout win over Haka in the Finnish Cup. Their home form at Savon Sanomat Areena is formidable, winning 11 of their last 13 across all competitions, scoring 2.8 goals per match. No major injuries are reported, with Ibrahim Cisse back from a domestic ban. Recent form: WWDW.
FC Milsami Review
FC Milsami Orhei, the 2024 Moldovan Super Liga champions, enter their second Champions League qualifying campaign since 2015-16. Under Igor Picușceac, their 4-4-2 setup relies on Radu Gînsari (2 goals) and a compact defense, but their form is inconsistent (W2-D1-L2 in last 5), with a 2-1 loss to Sheriff Tiraspol on July 5, 2025, ending a two-match win streak. Milsami average 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, with away struggles evident (1W in last 5 away games). Emil Tîmbur remains available in goal despite a recent red card, and Christopher Nwaeze is eligible despite a domestic suspension. Their attack lacks potency, scoring only 3 goals in their last five games. Recent form: LWWDL.
Head to Head
KuPS and Milsami met in the 2022-23 UEFA Europa Conference League second qualifying round:
July 21, 2022 (Finland): KuPS 2-2 Milsami. A competitive draw, with Milsami holding firm.
July 28, 2022 (Moldova): Milsami 1-4 KuPS. KuPS dominated, advancing 6-3 on aggregate. KuPS are unbeaten (1W-1D-0L), averaging 4.5 goals per match in these ties. Milsami scored in both games, but KuPS’s attacking output overwhelmed them, especially away. No Champions League meetings are recorded, but KuPS’s prior dominance sets a precedent.
Prediction: KuPS 3-1 Milsami.
The UEFA Champions League first qualifying round first leg on July 8, 2025, at Savon Sanomat Areena heavily favors KuPS. Their home dominance (11W in 13), high-scoring form (9 goals in last 2 home games), and prior 4-1 win over Milsami give them a clear edge. Milsami’s away struggles (1W in 5) and low scoring (3 goals in 5) suggest they’ll struggle against KuPS’s press and 86% passing accuracy. Bookmakers give KuPS a 72% win probability (odds ~1.42), with over 2.5 goals at 1.72 due to KuPS’s high-scoring home games. Milsami may score, as they did in 2022, but KuPS’s attack (Luyeye-Lutumba, Sadiku) should secure a comfortable lead for the second leg. Expect Luyeye-Lutumba to score, with Milsami nicking a goal via Gînsari.
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