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Predictions> Preview> USA Major League Soccer,New Yo...

July 3rd USA Major League Soccer - New York City FC VS Toronto FC Prediction

July 3rd USA Major League Soccer - New York City FC VS Toronto FC Prediction
USA Major League Soccer  -  New York City FC VS Toronto FC
Match Time:04-07-2025 07:40 Friday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips

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Team Reviews
New York City FC
New York City FC, nicknamed the Pigeons and coached by Pascal Jansen, is 9th in the MLS Eastern Conference with 20 points from 19 matches (5 wins, 5 draws, 9 losses), per www.sofascore.com. They lost 1-0 to CF Montreal on June 28, 2025, with Victor Loturi scoring, ending a three-game unbeaten streak, per www.sportsmole.co.uk. Their form shows 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last five league matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 goal conceded per game. Key players include Hannes Wolf (8 goals, 3 assists, 4 goals in last 3 games) and goalkeeper Matt Freese (ranked 3rd in MLS saves per match at 4). NYCFC’s strengths are their home form (3 wins in last 4 at Yankee Stadium) and Wolf’s attacking threat, but injuries to James Sands (hamstring), Keaton Parks (ankle), Malachi Jones (knee), and Tayvon Gray’s suspension weaken their lineup, per khelnow.com. They aim to leverage their 5-game winning streak against Toronto to climb into playoff spots.

Toronto FC
Toronto FC, known as the Reds and coached by Robin Fraser, is 13th in the Eastern Conference with 14 points from 19 matches (4 wins, 2 draws, 13 losses), per www.fctables.com. They secured a 3-0 win over Portland Timbers on June 28, 2025, with Tyrese Spicer scoring, per khelnow.com. Their form includes 2 wins and 3 losses in their last five, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.2 goals conceded. Key players include Spicer (1 goal vs. Portland) and Ola Brynhildsen, with Sean Johnson in goal. Toronto’s strengths are their recent momentum (unbeaten in last 2) and counter-attacking pace, but injuries to Federico Bernardeschi, Henry Wingo, Jonathan Osorio, and three others, per khelnow.com, plus the departure of Lorenzo Insigne, per @JohnMolinaro, limit their depth. They seek consecutive wins for the first time since July 2024.

Head-to-Head
New York City FC and Toronto FC have met 28 times since 2015, with NYCFC leading 12-9, and 7 draws, per www.aiscore.com. NYCFC won their last five encounters, including a 1-0 victory on April 26, 2025, at BMO Field (Alonso Martínez penalty, 64’), and a 2-1 comeback win in 2024, per www.espn.com. Matches average 3.32 goals, with 66.7% over 2.5 goals and 20% both teams scoring (BTTS) in the last 5, per www.fctables.com. NYCFC’s 14 goals in their last 5 H2H games highlight their dominance, though Toronto’s 3-0 Portland win suggests potential, per khelnow.com.

Prediction: New York City FC 2-1 Toronto FC
NYCFC is likely to score through Wolf or Fernández, with Spicer possibly netting for Toronto. NYCFC’s home form and H2H dominance should secure a narrow win, boosting their playoff push, while Toronto’s injuries and inconsistency limit their upset chances.
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