July 3rd UEFA European Women's Championship - Belgium (W) VS Italy (W) Prediction

UEFA European Women's Championship - Belgium (W) VS Italy (W)
Match Time:04-07-2025 00:00 Friday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
Belgium (W)
Belgium, nicknamed the Red Flames and coached by Elísabet Gunnarsdottir, qualified for the UEFA Women's Euro 2025 with a 4-1 win over Ukraine in December 2024, finishing third in Group A1 with a 1-1 draw against Norway and 0-0 against Italy in qualifiers. Their form shows 2 wins and 3 losses in their last five competitive matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 2.0 goals conceded per game. Key players include Tessa Wullaert (22 caps, 2 goals in friendlies vs. Greece), Janice Cayman, and Tinne De Caigny. Belgium’s strengths are their clinical finishing (3-2 upset over England in 2025) and Wullaert’s leadership, but recent heavy losses (5-0 to France, 5-1 to Spain) expose defensive frailties, per www.freetips.com. They aim to reach the knockout stages in their third Euro appearance (best: 2017 group stage).
Italy (W)
Italy, known as the Azzurre and coached by Andrea Soncin, topped Group A1 with a 4-0 win over Finland and 2-0 over Belgium in qualifiers, securing direct qualification. Their form includes 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last five, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded. Key players include Cristiana Girelli (4 goals in her last 3 club and country games), Arianna Caruso, and Manuela Giugliano. Italy’s strengths are their tight defense (2 clean sheets in qualifiers) and Girelli’s goal-scoring form, but midfielder Giulia Dragoni is ruled out due to injury, per www.freetips.com. They seek a quarter-final spot after a 2022 group-stage exit, with a realistic shot at second in Group B behind Spain, per ESPN.
Head-to-Head
Belgium hold a 4-1 record against Italy in five meetings, per www.freetips.com. Their last competitive clash was a 0-0 draw in July 2024 qualifiers, with Italy winning 4-0 earlier that year. Matches average 2.2 goals, with 40% over 2.5 goals and 20% both teams scoring (BTTS). Belgium’s 3-2 friendly win over England contrasts with Italy’s 2-0 loss to Spain, showing Belgium’s edge in intensity but Italy’s defensive solidity.
Prediction: Belgium 1-2 Italy
Italy is likely to score through Girelli, with Wullaert possibly netting for Belgium. Italy’s defensive cohesion and Girelli’s form should secure a narrow win, positioning them for a quarter-final push, though Belgium’s intensity keeps it competitive.
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