July 2nd Concacaf Gold - USA VS Guatemala Prediction
Concacaf Gold - USA VS Guatemala
Match Time:03-07-2025 07:00 Thursday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
United States
The USMNT, coached by Mauricio Pochettino, topped Group D with a perfect 9 points, defeating Trinidad and Tobago (5-0), Saudi Arabia (1-0), and Haiti (2-1) from June 15-22, 2025, at venues in San Jose, Austin, and Arlington. They advanced past Costa Rica in a dramatic 2-2 (4-3 penalties) quarterfinal win on June 29, 2025, at U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, with Diego Luna and Max Arfsten scoring, and goalkeeper Matt Freese making three penalty saves, per www.ussoccer.com. Their form shows 4 wins and 1 draw in their last five competitive matches, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.6 goals conceded per game. Key players include Malik Tillman (top performer, per www.si.com), Luna (1 goal, 1 penalty), and Freese. The USMNT’s strengths are their attacking depth (15 MLS players, including Real Salt Lake’s Luna) and 17/18 semifinal appearances, but defensive decision-making between Tim Ream and Freese needs tightening, per Stars and Stripes FC. They aim for an 11th final and eighth title, ranked 11th by FIFA.
Guatemala
Guatemala, nicknamed Los Chapines and coached by Luis Fernando Tena, finished second in Group C with 6 points, beating Jamaica (1-0) and Guadeloupe (3-2) but losing to Panama (1-0) from June 16-24, 2025, in Carson, Austin, and Houston. They upset Canada 1-1 (6-5 penalties) in the quarterfinals on June 29, 2025, at U.S. Bank Stadium, per www.concacaf.com. Their form includes 3 wins and 2 losses in their last five, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded. Key players include Rubio Rubin (capable of exploiting errors), Olger Escobar (youngest Central American scorer at 18, vs. Guadeloupe), and D.C. United’s Aaron Herrera. Guatemala’s strengths are their high-pressing 4-3-3 and upset potential (beating Canada), but the absence of goalkeeper Nicholas Hagen (injury) and reliance on Kenderson Navarro weaken them, per www.starsandstripesfc.com. Ranked 106th by FIFA, they seek their first semifinal win since 1996.
Head-to-Head
The USA and Guatemala have met 27 times, with the USMNT leading 16-5-6, per www.ussoccer.com. Their last Gold Cup clash was a 1-0 USA win in the 2007 group stage. The USMNT won 4-0 in 2016 World Cup qualifying, their most recent meeting. Matches average 2.5 goals, with 44% over 2.5 goals and 33% both teams scoring (BTTS). The USA’s 7-0 win in a 2015 friendly highlights their dominance, but Guatemala’s 2-0 upset in 2004 World Cup qualifying shows their potential, per www.concacaf.com. Guatemala’s recent penalty shootout success could be key if the game is tight.
Prediction: USA 2-1 Guatemala
The USA is likely to score through Tillman or Luna, with Rubin possibly netting for Guatemala. The USMNT’s superior talent and home support should secure a narrow win, advancing them to face Mexico or Honduras, though Guatemala’s press keeps it competitive.
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