June 28th FIFA Club World Cup - Benfica VS Chelsea Prediction
FIFA Club World Cup - Benfica VS Chelsea
Match Time:29-06-2025 04:00 Sunday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
Benfica
Benfica, coached by Bruno Lage, topped Group C with 7 points, securing a 2-2 draw against Boca Juniors on June 16, 2025, a 6-0 thrashing of Auckland City on June 20, 2025, and a 1-0 upset over Bayern Munich on June 24, 2025, at Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, with Andreas Schjelderup scoring in the 13th minute. Their form shows 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last five competitive matches, averaging 2.6 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded per game. Key players include Ángel Di María (3 penalty goals, tournament co-top scorer), Nicolás Otamendi (29/36 duels won, 80.6% success rate), and goalkeeper Anatoliy Trubin (clean sheet vs. Bayern). Benfica’s strengths are their defensive stability (2 goals conceded) and tactical adaptability, but injuries to Alexander Bah (knee), Manu Silva (unspecified), Florentino Luís (shoulder), and Álvaro Carreras’ suspension weaken their squad. They aim to upset Chelsea, leveraging their 10/12 last-16 progression record in international competitions, per The Analyst.
Chelsea
Chelsea, led by Enzo Maresca, finished second in Group D with 6 points, beating LAFC 2-0 on June 16, 2025, in Atlanta, losing 3-1 to Flamengo on June 20, 2025, in Philadelphia, and defeating ES Tunis 3-0 on June 24, 2025, in Philadelphia, with goals from Tosin Adarabioyo, Liam Delap, and Tyrique George. Their form includes 3 wins and 2 losses in their last five, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 goals conceded. Key players include Enzo Fernández (2 assists vs. ES Tunis, 16 assists in 2025), Pedro Neto (2 CWC goals), and Cole Palmer. Chelsea’s strengths are their attacking versatility (64.5% possession vs. LAFC) and unbeaten record against Benfica (3 wins), but Nicolas Jackson’s suspension (red card vs. Flamengo) and Wesley Fofana’s thigh injury limit options. They target a quarter-final spot against Palmeiras or Botafogo, per ESPN.
Head-to-Head
Chelsea and Benfica have met three times competitively, with Chelsea winning all: 1-0 and 2-1 in the 2011-12 UEFA Champions League quarter-finals and 2-1 in the 2013 UEFA Europa League final. A 2005 friendly also ended 1-0 to Chelsea. Matches average 2.0 goals, with 50% over 2.5 goals and 50% both teams scoring (BTTS). Chelsea’s 5-2 goal aggregate and historical dominance give them an edge, though Benfica’s recent form (1-0 vs. Bayern) suggests competitiveness, per Sports Mole.
Prediction: Benfica 1-2 Chelsea
This Round of 16 clash on June 28, 2025, at Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, at 4:00 PM ET (9:00 PM GMT), pits Benfica’s defensive grit against Chelsea’s attacking depth. Benfica’s Di María and Schjelderup face Chelsea’s Fernández and Delap, with Otamendi’s duels crucial against Chelsea’s Neto and Palmer. Chelsea’s 45.1% win probability in Opta’s 10,000 simulations and +105 odds at bet365 make them favorites, but Benfica’s +550 value and 29.1% win chance reflect upset potential, per @OddsDanny on X. Trends (Benfica: 60% over 2.5 goals; Chelsea: 40%) and group-stage scoring (Benfica: 9; Chelsea: 6) suggest goals, though The Stats Zone predicts under 3.5. Referee TBD may issue cards in the 37°C heat if Benfica’s physicality (22 fouls vs. Boca) escalatesl.
Chelsea is likely to score through Delap or Neto, with Di María possibly netting a penalty for Benfica. Chelsea’s historical edge and attacking cohesion should secure a narrow win, advancing them to the quarter-finals, though Benfica’s defensive resilience keeps it close.
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