June 28th Concacaf Gold - Panama VS Honduras Prediction
Concacaf Gold - Panama VS Honduras
Match Time:29-06-2025 07:15 Sunday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
Panama
Panama, coached by Thomas Christiansen, topped Group C with a perfect 9 points, defeating Guadeloupe (5-2), Guatemala (1-0), and Jamaica (4-1) from June 16-24, 2025, per www.concacaf.com. Their form shows 5 wins in their last five competitive matches, averaging 2.7 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded per game. Key players include Ismael Díaz, the tournament’s leading scorer with 5 goals, including a hat-trick against Jamaica, and Marseille center-back Amir Murillo, solid in front of goalkeeper Orlando Mosquera. Panama’s strengths are their fluid attack (tournament-high 10 goals) and midfield control, led by Adalberto Carrasquilla, but absences of Aníbal Godoy, Michael Murillo, and Eric Davis (all doubtful) strain their depth. As 2023 runners-up (1-0 loss to Mexico), Panama, ranked 33rd by FIFA, aims for a first-ever Gold Cup title, with Díaz’s high-press transitions key, per ats.io.
Honduras
Honduras, known as Los Catrachos and coached by Reinaldo Rueda, secured second place in Group B with 6 points, losing 6-0 to Canada on June 17, 2025, but rebounding with wins over El Salvador (2-0) and Curaçao (2-1) on June 24, 2025, at PayPal Park, San Jose, per www.concacaf.com. Their form includes 2 wins and 3 losses in their last five, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 goals conceded. Key players include Luis Palma, who scored the 90+1’ winner against Curaçao, and Romell Quioto, a physical forward. Honduras’ strengths are their resilience and late-game heroics (Jorge Álvarez’s 32’ strike vs. Curaçao), but defensive frailties (6 goals conceded vs. Canada) and a lack of attacking efficiency (4 goals total) are concerns.
Head-to-Head
Panama and Honduras have met 45 times since 2000, with Honduras leading 20-12-13, per Sofascore.com. Recent competitive matches since 2021 include a 3-2 Panama win (2021 World Cup qualifier), a 1-1 draw (2022 Nations League), and a 1-0 Honduras win (2023 Nations League). Matches average 2.3 goals, with 40% over 2.5 goals and 50% both teams scoring (BTTS). Panama’s 2-0 win in a 2024 friendly highlights their edge, but Honduras’ physicality makes them unpredictable, as noted by @SammyMarz02 on X.
Brief Prediction
This quarterfinal match on June 28, 2025, at State Farm Stadium, Glendale, Arizona, at 7:15 PM MST (10:15 PM EDT, 3:15 AM GMT, June 29), kicks off a doubleheader with Mexico vs. Saudi Arabia. Panama’s attacking form, led by Díaz (5 goals) and Tomás Rodríguez (3 goals), faces Honduras’ compact setup, which relies on Palma and Quioto to counter. Panama’s perfect group stage and 1.9 expected goals (xG) per match outpace Honduras’ 1.1 xG, per ats.io, making them favorites (-154 odds at bet365). Honduras’ defensive issues (1.5 goals conceded per game) could be exposed, but their 2-1 H2H win in 2023 shows upset potential. Posts on X, like @duroalhueso, urge Panama to repeat their winning XI, while @TigoSportsPA cites Rueda’s respect for Panama’s hunger. Trends (Panama: 80% over 2.5 goals; Honduras: 40%) and group-stage scoring (Panama: 10; Honduras: 4) suggest goals. Referee TBD may issue cards if Honduras’ physicality, seen vs. Curaçao, intensifies in the 30°C desert heat. .
Predicted Score: Panama 2-1 Honduras
Panama is likely to score through Díaz or Rodríguez, with Palma or Quioto possibly netting for Honduras. Panama’s attacking edge and group-stage dominance should secure a narrow win, advancing them to the semi-finals against the Mexico-Saudi Arabia winner, while Honduras’ gritty effort falls short.
From:Preview
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