June 12th USA Major League Soccer - New York City FC VS Atlanta United Prediction
USA Major League Soccer - New York City FC VS Atlanta United
Match Time:13-06-2025 07:30 Friday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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The USA Major League Soccer match between New York City FC and Atlanta United, scheduled for June 12, 2025, at Yankee Stadium, New York, is a Matchday 18 fixture in the Eastern Conference. Below is an analysis of the teams, their head-to-head history, and a shortened prediction, incorporating relevant web and X sources.
Team Analysis
New York City FC (Current Rank: 10th, 25 points)
Coached by Pascal Jansen, NYCFC have had a mixed 2025 season with 7 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses in 17 matches. Their recent 2-2 draw at Nashville SC, with Hannes Wolf’s brace, shows resilience despite conceding the opening goal in 9 of 17 games.
Strengths:
Home Form: NYCFC have won 6 of 9 home games at Yankee Stadium, averaging 1.18 goals scored and conceded per match, making it a fortress.
Key Players: Hannes Wolf (3 goals) and Alonso Martinez (3 goals) lead the attack, with goalkeeper Matt Freese securing a clean sheet against Columbus Crew.
Defensive Solidity: First clean sheet of 2025 against Columbus, with a 76.2% save percentage.
Weaknesses:
Injuries: Kevin O’Toole, Malachi Jones (leg issues), and Jacob Arroyave (knee) are sidelined, limiting depth.
Winless Run: Two-match winless streak (1 draw, 1 loss), with no away wins in their last four league games.
Atlanta United (Current Rank: 13th, 17 points)
Managed by Ronny Deila, Atlanta have struggled with 4 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses in 17 matches. A 2-0 loss to New York Red Bulls and no away wins in 2025 highlight their challenges, though Emmanuel Latte Lath’s scoring (3 goals) offers hope.
Strengths:
Attacking Potential: Latte Lath and Miguel Almiron (3 goals, 3 assists) provide flair, with Atlanta averaging 1.24 goals per game.
Recent Form: Two wins in their last five games, including a 4-3 thriller against NYCFC on March 29, 2025.
Head-to-Head Edge: Unbeaten in their last five league meetings vs. NYCFC (1 win, 4 draws).
Weaknesses:
Away Struggles: No away wins in 2025, with only 4 of 21 goals scored on the road and multiple goals conceded in every away game.
Injuries: Josh Cohen, Stian Rode Gregersen, and Tristan Muyumba are out, weakening their lineup.
Head-to-Head History
NYCFC and Atlanta United have met 18 times since 2017 in MLS competitions:
Total Matches: 18
NYCFC Wins: 5 (Total Goals: 30, PPG: 1.7)
Atlanta United Wins: 5 (Total Goals: 28, PPG: 1.6)
Draws: 8
Recent Encounters:
March 29, 2025 (MLS, Atlanta): Atlanta won 4-3 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
July 17, 2024 (MLS, Atlanta): 2-2 draw.
November 21, 2023 (MLS Playoffs): 1-1 draw.
Goal Trends: 82% BTTS, 60% over 2.5 goals, averaging 3.0 goals per match. Four of the last five meetings ended in draws.
At Yankee Stadium: NYCFC are 4-1-4 against Atlanta, with a 15-8 goal difference, but their last home win was in 2021.
Prediction: New York City FC 2-1 Atlanta United
NYCFC’s strong home form (6-2-1) and Atlanta’s winless away record (0-2-6) give the Pigeons the edge at Yankee Stadium. Despite Atlanta’s recent 4-3 win and five-match unbeaten streak vs. NYCFC, their injury-hit squad and poor road form (4 goals scored) favor the hosts. High BTTS (82%) and over 2.5 goals (60%) trends suggest a tight, goal-heavy game
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