June 12th Spanish La Liga 2 - Mirandes VS Racing Santander Prediction
Spanish La Liga 2 - Mirandes VS Racing Santander
Match Time:13-06-2025 03:00 Friday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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The Spanish La Liga 2 playoff semifinal second leg between Mirandés and Racing Santander, scheduled for June 12, 2025, at Estadio Municipal de Anduva in Miranda de Ebro, is a crucial match to determine which team advances to the playoff final for a chance at promotion to La Liga. Below is an analysis of the teams, their head-to-head history, and a prediction for the match, incorporating recent match results and form from web sources.
Team Reviews
Mirandés (Current Rank: 4th, 75 points in regular season)
Coached by Alessio Lisci, Mirandés have had a historic 2024/25 LaLiga 2 season, finishing fourth with 75 points (17 wins, 7 draws, 8 losses). They are unbeaten in their last seven matches, including a dramatic 3-3 draw in the first leg against Racing Santander on June 8, 2025, where they led 3-1 before conceding a late own goal.
Strengths:
Home Form: Mirandés are nearly unbeatable at Anduva, with only Granada winning there this season. They have a 66.67% win rate at home and average 1.7 goals per match.
Attacking Threat: Urko Izeta (51st-minute goal in the first leg) and Panichelli (top scorer) lead a potent attack, with Mirandés scoring in 80% of their last five games.
Resilience: Their ability to lead 3-1 away in the first leg shows tactical discipline and counter-attacking prowess.
Weaknesses:
Late Concessions: Mirandés collapsed late in the first leg, conceding twice (including a 98th-minute own goal) to draw 3-3, indicating potential defensive lapses under pressure.
Disciplinary Issues: Five yellow cards in the first leg (Tomeo, Eguiluz, Tachi, Roca, Iker Benito) could affect their composure.
Racing Santander (Current Rank: 5th, 71 points in regular season)
Managed by José Alberto López, Racing Santander finished fifth with 71 points (16 wins, 8 draws, 8 losses). They showed character in the first leg, fighting back from 1-3 to draw 3-3 with goals from Íñigo Vicente, Andrés Martín, and a late own goal.
Strengths:
Home Recovery: Their comeback in the first leg at El Sardinero, where they’re unbeaten in seven games, highlights resilience and attacking depth (1.6 goals per match).
Key Players: Andrés Martín (18th goal of the season in the first leg) and Juan Carlos Arana (scored vs. Granada) are in form, with Íñigo Vicente providing creativity.
Momentum: Unbeaten in their last three matches, including a 2-1 win over Granada, Racing are peaking at the right time.
Weaknesses:
Away Form: Racing’s away win percentage is only 33%, and they’ve failed to win at Anduva in their last two visits (0-1 and 2-1 losses).
Defensive Lapses: Conceding three goals in the first leg and a 45% possession rate show vulnerabilities against Mirandés’ attacking play.
Head-to-Head History
Mirandés and Racing Santander have faced each other 20 times since 2012 across LaLiga 2, Segunda B, and Copa del Rey:
Total Matches: 20
Racing Santander Wins: 8 (Total Goals: 21, PPG: 1.1)
Mirandés Wins: 7 (Total Goals: 16, PPG: 0.8)
Draws: 5
Recent Encounters:
June 8, 2025 (Playoff Semifinal, 1st Leg): 3-3 draw at El Sardinero (Mirandés goals: Izeta, Rincón, Panichelli; Racing goals: Vicente, Martín, own goal).
March 22, 2025 (Regular Season): Mirandés won 2-1 at Anduva (Izeta 51’, Manu own goal 75’; Mario García 24’ for Racing).
November 30, 2024 (Regular Season): Mirandés won 1-0 at El Sardinero.
Goal Trends: 35% BTTS, 33.3% over 2.5 goals in recent matches. Average goals per match: 1.88. The first leg’s 3-3 result was an outlier, as prior games averaged under 2.5 goals.
Match Prediction
This second leg is finely balanced after the 3-3 draw in the first leg, with no away goals rule in LaLiga 2 playoffs, meaning the winner advances to the playoff final. Mirandés’ strong home record and Racing’s away struggles tip the scales slightly.
Key Factors:
Mirandés’ Home Advantage: Anduva is a fortress, with only one loss this season. Their 2-1 and 1-0 wins over Racing this season at home favor them.
Racing’s Resilience: Their late comeback in the first leg shows character, but their 33% away win rate and no wins at Anduva since 2022 are concerns.
Goal Trends: The first leg’s 6 goals and 35% BTTS rate suggest both teams could score, but Mirandés’ home games often see under 2.5 goals (70% this season).
Statistical Insights:
Mirandés: 50% win rate in last 10 games, 60% over 2.5 goals, unbeaten in 7.
Racing Santander: 30% win rate in last 10, 40% over 2.5 goals, 3-match unbeaten run.
Head-to-Head: Mirandés won both 2024/25 regular-season matches (2-1, 1-0), giving them a psychological edge.
Prediction: Mirandés’ unbeaten home form and success against Racing this season make them favorites. Racing’s comeback ability and attacking threat could keep it close, but their away struggles and Mirandés’ defensive solidity at Anduva point to a narrow home win. Expect a tighter game than the first leg’s 3-3 thriller.
Final Score Prediction: Mirandés 1-0 Racing Santander
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