International Friendly - Uganda VS Gambia Prediction

International Friendly - Uganda VS Gambia
Match Time:09-06-2025 23:00 Monday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
Uganda (Rank 89)
Form: 1W-1D-3L in last 5; recent 3-0 loss to Cameroon (June 6, 2025), 1-0 win vs. Guinea (World Cup qualifier). Lost 3-1 to Mozambique in qualifiers.
Strengths: Playing at Stade de Marrakech, Morocco (neutral venue), Uganda relies on assistant coach Sam Ssimbwa, with head coach Paul Put sidelined by illness. Young talent Patrick Kakande (SC Villa) impressed off the bench vs. Cameroon, per X (@CollinsNick19). Strong recent record (7W-2D-2L in last 11 competitive matches). Homegrown players like Bobosi Byaruhanga and Allan Okello add dynamism.
Weaknesses: Key striker Steven Mukwala (Simba SC) is out injured, reducing attacking threat. Only 1 win in last 11 friendlies (vs. Kuwait, Jan 2024). Defensive frailties exposed in 3-0 loss to Cameroon.
Key Players: Kakande, Byaruhanga, Muhammad Shaban.
Gambia (Rank 129)
Form: 2W-2D-2L in last 6; recent 2-1 win vs. Equatorial Guinea (June 6, 2025, Adama Sidibeh brace), ending a 6-game winless streak. Drew 0-0 vs. Gabon in CHAN qualifiers.
Strengths: Coach Jonathan McKinstry’s new-look squad, with 12 debutants, showed promise vs. Equatorial Guinea. Sidibeh (St Johnstone) and Ibroihim Youssouf lead the attack. Goalkeeper Baboucarr Gaye’s return strengthens defense. Resilient in tight games, per X (@garyalsmith).
Weaknesses: Fifth in World Cup qualifying Group F, with no direct qualification chance. Scoring struggles (failed to score in 3 consecutive games before Equatorial Guinea). Away form weak (1W-2D-3L in last 6).
Key Players: Sidibeh, Youssouf, Sainey Sanyang.
Head-to-Head Analysis
Record: 1 match (2015 friendly); ended 1-1 at Namboole Stadium, Uganda. No competitive H2H.
Trends: The sole H2H was low-scoring, with both teams cautious. Uganda’s possession (58%) edged Gambia’s, but neither converted big chances, per AiScore data. Expect another tight contest given both teams’ recent defensive struggles.
Prediction: Uganda 1-1 Gambia
Played at Stade de Marrakech, Morocco (4:00 PM local time). Both teams prepare for September 2025 World Cup qualifiers (Uganda vs. Congo, Gambia vs. El Salvador). Uganda seeks to end a 10-game friendly winless streak; Gambia aims to build on their morale-boosting win. Uganda’s stronger recent record (7 wins in 11) clashes with Gambia’s newfound momentum from Sidibeh’s brace. Both teams’ defensive issues (Uganda: 3 goals conceded vs. Cameroon; Gambia: 2.2 goals per game conceded in last 5) suggest goals. A draw aligns with their 2015 H2H and current form. Sports Mole predicts a Uganda win (44.1%, 1-0), but Gambia’s upset potential tempers this. Uganda’s Kakande and Byaruhanga can exploit Gambia’s shaky defense, but Sidibeh’s form poses a counter-threat. Both teams’ low scoring in friendlies (Uganda: 0.8 goals per game; Gambia: 1.2) and the 2015 draw support a stalemate. Neutral venue evens the contest.
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