7th Jun. Spanish La Liga 2 - Almeria VS Real Oviedo Prediction
Spanish La Liga 2 - Almeria VS Real Oviedo
Match Time:08-06-2025 03:00 Sunday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
Almería (Rank 6, 69 points)
Form: 7W-8D-3L in last 18; recent 2-0 win vs. Tenerife (Arnau 7’, Arribas 56’). Unbeaten in last 11 (7W-4D).
Strengths: Playing at UD Almería Stadium, Almería leverages Luis Suárez’s finishing (1 goal vs. Oviedo, Feb 2025) and Álex Pozo’s wing play. Coach Rubi’s 4-2-3-1 balances attack and defense (1.71 goals scored per game). Solid home record (88% of matches over 1.5 goals).
Weaknesses: Defensive frailties (Rachad Fettal’s red card vs. Oviedo, Oct 2024) and inconsistent finishing (56% of home games over 2.5 goals). Recent 1-1 draw vs. Oviedo shows vulnerability to Oviedo’s attack.
Key Players: Suárez, Pozo, Léo Baptistão.
Real Oviedo (Rank 3, 75 points)
Form: 8W-7D-3L in last 18; recent 3-2 win vs. Almería (Oct 2024, Cazorla, Alemão, Colombatto). Unbeaten in last 10 league games (7W-3D).
Strengths: Coach Luis Carrión’s side thrives with Santi Cazorla’s creativity (assist vs. Almería) and Alemão’s aerial threat (2 goals vs. Almería). Strong away form (54% of matches over 1.5 goals). 50% of Oviedo’s goals involve Cazorla or Alemão.
Weaknesses: Defensive lapses in open play (33% of away games over 2.5 goals). Recent wins often by one-goal margins, suggesting tight contests.
Key Players: Cazorla, Alemão, Santiago Colombatto.
Head-to-Head Analysis
Record: 18 matches since 2003; Almería won 6 (22 goals), Oviedo won 6 (20 goals), 6 draws. Recent: 1-1 draw (Feb 2025, Suárez 75’), Oviedo 3-2 (Oct 2024).
Trends: 5 of last 6 H2Hs saw both teams score. 100% of last 7 matches over 1.5 goals; 6 of 7 had goals in first half. Almería’s home games vs. Oviedo average 2.3 goals.
Prediction: Almería 2-2 Real Oviedo
First leg of the La Liga 2 promotion playoff semi-final at UD Almería Stadium (7:00 PM UTC). The winner faces Mirandés or Racing Santander for a La Liga spot. Almería seeks immediate top-flight return; Oviedo chases promotion after a strong season. Almería’s home form (unbeaten in 11) meets Oviedo’s unbeaten streak (10 games). Suárez’s scoring threat counters Cazorla’s playmaking, but Oviedo’s defensive issues and Almería’s home advantage tilt the balance. Social media (@RealOviedoTR, @solouda_) notes Almería’s defensive errors but Oviedo’s aerial strength. A high-scoring draw aligns with H2H trends. Both teams’ recent form (Almería: 7W-4D, Oviedo: 7W-3D) and H2H scoring trends (5 of 6 with both teams scoring) suggest goals. Almería’s home edge is offset by Oviedo’s attacking threat, leading to a stalemate before the second leg.
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