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FIFA World Cup qualification (AFC) - Qatar VS Iran Prediction

FIFA World Cup qualification (AFC) - Qatar VS Iran Prediction
FIFA World Cup qualification (AFC)  -  Qatar VS Iran
Match Time:06-06-2025 02:15 Friday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips

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Team Reviews
Qatar (Rank 46, 4th in Group A, 9 points)
Form: 2W-3D-3L; recent 3-2 win vs. Uzbekistan, 3-1 loss to Kyrgyzstan.
Strengths: Strong home record at Lusail Stadium (8W-1D in last 10 home games). Under new coach Julen Lopetegui, appointed in May 2025, Qatar leverages Akram Afif’s flair and Almoez Ali’s finishing. Two-time Asian Cup champions (2019, 2024) show resilience.
Weaknesses: Inconsistent in third round, conceding 12 goals in 8 matches. Shock 3-1 loss to Kyrgyzstan exposed defensive frailties. Likely need fourth round for qualification.
Key Players: Afif (top assister), Ali (2 goals in qualifiers), Meshaal Barsham (GK).

Iran (Rank 18, 1st in Group A, 20 points)
Form: 6W-2D-0L; recent 2-2 draw vs. Uzbekistan, 4-1 win vs. Qatar.
Strengths: Already qualified for 2026 World Cup, unbeaten in qualifiers. Coach Amir Ghalenoei’s side boasts a potent attack with Mehdi Taremi (Inter Milan) and Sardar Azmoun. Outstanding defense, conceding only 4 goals in 8 matches.
Weaknesses: Missing seven players due to injuries, including Saleh Hardani and Mohammad Mohebi. Lack of motivation post-qualification may affect intensity. Away form less dominant (3W-2D in last 5 away games).
Key Players: Taremi, Azmoun, Saman Ghoddos.

Head-to-Head Analysis
Record: 20 matches since 2004; Iran won 12 (37 goals), Qatar won 3 (17 goals), 5 draws. Iran won 4-1 in October 2024 (Azmoun x2, Mohebi x2). Qatar’s last win was 3-2 in the 2024 Asian Cup semifinal.
Trends: Iran unbeaten in last 8 World Cup qualifier H2Hs (W5-D3), with no goals conceded in last 4. Five of Iran’s last 6 matches produced under 2.5 goals. Qatar struggle to score against Iran at home (0W-0D in last 5 H2Hs).

Prediction: Qatar 1-1 Iran
Iran, already qualified, aim to maintain Group A lead at Lusail Stadium. Qatar, fighting for a top-four spot, need a win to avoid the fourth round. Qatar’s home advantage and Lopetegui’s tactics may challenge Iran, but injuries weaken Iran’s squad, and their defensive solidity remains a hurdle. A low-scoring draw is likely, given Iran’s lack of urgency and Qatar’s H2H struggles. Qatar’s Afif and Ali can exploit Iran’s depleted lineup, but Iran’s Taremi and defensive organization should hold firm. Recent H2H trends and Iran’s clean-sheet record suggest a tight game.
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