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Coppa Italia - AC Milan VS AS Roma Prediction

Coppa Italia - AC Milan VS AS Roma Prediction
Coppa Italia  -  AC Milan VS AS Roma
Match Time:06-02-2025 04:00 Thursday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips

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AC Milan
Milan have been active in the transfer market, bolstering their attacking options with the arrival of Santiago Gimenez, while Alvaro Morata has departed on an initial loan move to Galatasaray. Additionally, former club captain Davide Calabria has left for Bologna, meaning further adjustments to the squad will be required.

In terms of team selection, manager Sergio Conceicao will be relieved to have Youssouf Fofana back in contention after serving a suspension last weekend. However, the Rossoneri remain without key players due to injury, with Ruben Loftus-Cheek, Emerson Royal, and Alessandro Florenzi still sidelined.

Given Milan’s tight schedule, which includes a Serie A fixture against Empoli and a crucial Champions League playoff against Feyenoord, rotation is expected. However, Tammy Abraham is likely to retain his place as the central striker.

Milan are expected to set up in a 4-3-3 formation, with Mike Maignan guarding the goal. In defence, Kyle Walker is expected to take up the right-back role, while Fikayo Tomori and Strahinja Pavlović form the centre-back partnership. Theo Hernández will provide his usual attacking threat from left-back.

In midfield, the returning Youssouf Fofana is likely to operate as the anchor, allowing Yunus Musah and Tijjani Reijnders to play more progressive roles and help dictate the tempo of the game.

The attacking trio will see Christian Pulisic feature on the right, Rafael Leao on the left, and Tammy Abraham leading the line through the centre. With Leao’s pace and dribbling, Pulisic’s creativity, and Abraham’s physical presence, Milan will look to stretch Roma’s defence and create goalscoring opportunities.

AS Roma
Roma have received a boost ahead of their Coppa Italia quarter-final, with Manu Kone and Stephan El Shaarawy both declared fit after sustaining minor knocks in the recent Derby del Sole against Napoli. Their availability strengthens Claudio Ranieri’s options as the Giallorossi prepare for a difficult trip to San Siro.

However, Gianluca Mancini will miss out due to suspension, leaving a gap in Roma’s defensive line. His absence is likely to see Mats Hummels return to the starting XI after being rested on Sunday. The experienced defender’s leadership and composure will be key in managing Milan’s attacking threats.

Up front, Artem Dovbyk and Paulo Dybala — Ranieri’s preferred strike partnership — were both rested in the last match but are expected to return to the lineup. Dybala, in particular, has an impressive track record against Milan, having scored ten goals against them in his career, though only one has come in the Coppa Italia. His creativity and finishing ability could prove crucial as Roma seek a place in the semi-finals.

Roma are expected to line up in a 3-5-2 formation, with Mile Svilar starting between the posts. The three-man defence will likely consist of Devyne Rensch on the right, Mats Hummels in the centre, and Evan Ndicka on the left, providing a mix of experience and physicality to deal with Milan’s attack.

The midfield will see Alexis Saelemaekers operating as the right wing-back, offering width and attacking support, while Angeliño will play a similar role on the left. In the central midfield trio, Manu Kone and Leandro Paredes will provide defensive stability and ball control, while Lorenzo Pellegrini will be tasked with linking midfield to attack, using his vision and passing ability to create chances.

Leading the line will be Paulo Dybala and Artem Dovbyk. Dybala’s movement, technical ability, and goal-scoring instincts will complement Dovbyk’s physical presence and ability to hold up play. Together, they will look to exploit any weaknesses in Milan’s defence and cause problems for the hosts.

AC Milan possible starting lineup:
Maignan; Walker, Tomori, Pavlovic, Hernandez; Musah, Fofana, Reijnders; Pulisic, Abraham, Leao

Roma possible starting lineup:
Svilar; Rensch, Hummels, Ndicka; Saelemaekers, Kone, Paredes, Pellegrini, Angelino; Dybala, Dovbyk

AC Milan vs AS Roma Head-to-Head and Key Numbers
AC Milan have a slight edge over AS Roma and have won 21 out of the last 60 matches played between the two teams, as opposed to AS Roma's 19 victories.
AS Roma have remained unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions, with their previous defeat coming by a narrow 1-0 scoreline at the hands of AZ Alkmaar in the UEFA Europa League last month.
AC Milan are winless in their last two matches in all competitions, with their previous victory being a 3-2 win against Parma in a Serie A encounter last month.
AS Roma are unbeaten in their last four matches against AC Milan in all competitions, with their previous such defeat coming by a 3-1 scoreline in January last year.

Prediction: AC Milan 1-0 Roma
Claudio Ranieri has won six of his eight Coppa Italia ties across various spells as Roma boss, but leading this Giallorossi squad to a rare away win may be asking too much. While Milan are still hit-and-miss, they proved their capabilities in the Supercoppa and have become harder to beat under new management.
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